The survey by public broadcaster SVT gave Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson’s center-left bloc 49.8% of the votes in opposition to 49.2% for the opposition right-wing events.
Opinion polls have proven the race too near name all through a lot of the marketing campaign and exit polls can differ from the ultimate consequence. A TV4 ballot on election day additionally confirmed the center-left commanding a slim lead.
The exit ballot predicted the center-left — led by Andersson’s Social Democrats, in energy for eight years — would win 176 seats, another than the 175 wanted for a majority within the 349-seat parliament. The appropriate was poised to win 173 seats, the exit ballot confirmed.
“The SVT exit poll has been right every time they since they began doing them,” mentioned Mikael Gilljam, Professor of Political Science at Gothenburg College.
“We don’t know if this is the case this time. But if I have to put money on someone, it will be on the left.”
Campaigning had seen events battle to be the hardest on gang crime, after a gradual rise in shootings that has unnerved voters, whereas surging inflation and the vitality disaster following the invasion of Ukraine have more and more taken center-stage.
The SVT exit ballot confirmed Jimmie Akesson’s Sweden Democrats, which demand that asylum immigration be reduce to nearly zero, with 20.5% of the vote, up from 17.5% on the earlier election.
Whereas legislation and order points are residence turf for the best, gathering financial clouds as households and corporations face sky-high energy costs had been seen boosting Prime Minister Andersson, considered as a secure pair of arms and extra in style than her social gathering.
“I have voted for a Sweden where we continue to build on our strengths. Our ability to tackle society’s problems together, form a sense of community and respect each other,” Andersson mentioned after voting in a Stockholm suburb.
Andersson was finance minister for a few years earlier than turning into Sweden’s first feminine prime minister a yr in the past. Her primary rival, Moderates chief Ulf Kristersson, had forged himself as the one candidate who may unite the best and unseat her.
Into the mainstream
Kristersson has spent years deepening ties with the Sweden Democrats, an anti-immigration social gathering with white supremacists amongst its founders. Initially shunned by all the opposite events, the Sweden Democrats are actually more and more a part of the mainstream proper.
“Regardless of what happens tonight, the most important thing for me, for us, for all Sweden Democrats around the country, is the darn 175 seats so that we can finally bring about a change of power and our pro-Sweden policy,” Akesson advised supporters at an election night time rally.
However for a lot of center-left voters — and even some on the best — the prospect of the Sweden Democrats having a say on authorities coverage or becoming a member of the cupboard stays deeply unsettling.
“I’m fearing very much a repressive, very right-wing government coming,” Malin Ericsson, 53, a journey guide, mentioned earlier on Sunday at a voting station in central Stockholm.
Different voters had been eager to see change.
“I have voted for a change in power,” mentioned Jorgen Hellstrom 47, a small enterprise proprietor, as he voted close to parliament. “Taxes need to come down by quite a bit and we need to sort out crime. The last eight years have gone in the wrong direction.”
Kristersson had mentioned he would search to type a authorities with the small Christian Democrats and, presumably, the Liberals, and solely depend on Sweden Democrat help in parliament. However many on the center-left weren’t reassured.
Whichever bloc wins, negotiations to type a authorities in a polarized and emotionally-charged political panorama are more likely to be lengthy and tough.
Andersson might want to get help from the Centre Occasion and the Left, who’re ideological opposites, and possibly the Inexperienced Occasion as effectively, if she desires a second time period as prime minister.