Week 16 picks, schedule, playoff image, odds, accidents

The Week 16 NFL schedule for the 2022 season is stacked with nice matchups — together with three on Christmas Day — and we have you lined with what it is advisable know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters carry us the largest keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Info analysis gives a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe arms out useful fantasy soccer intel, as nicely. Lastly, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us remaining rating picks for each sport. Every thing you wish to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer. (And keep in mind, most NFL video games are on Saturday this weekend.)

Let’s get into the total Week 16 slate, together with Josh Allen vs. Justin Fields, the Giants and Vikings trying to make an announcement, the Eagles and Cowboys battling for NFC East supremacy and Aaron Rodgers in Miami. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Chargers and the Colts on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Saturday except in any other case famous.)

Soar to a matchup:
SEA-KC | NYG-MIN | CIN-NE
BUF-CHI | ATL-BAL | NO-CLE
HOU-TEN | DET-CAR | WSH-SF
PHI-DAL | LV-PIT | GB-MIA
DEN-LAR | TB-ARI | LAC-IND

Thursday: JAX 19, NYJ 3

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: KC -10 (49.5)

What to look at for: The Chiefs lead the NFL in scoring and scored greater than 40 factors towards three of their NFC opponents, together with the NFL chief in scoring protection (49ers) and the crew that is final (Cardinals). Right here come the Seahawks, who’re Twenty ninth in factors allowed at 25.4 per sport. It might appear the Chiefs are headed to a different huge quantity, although maybe the expected game-time temperature of round 10 levels will play an element. If it does flip right into a high-scoring sport, can the Seahawks sustain? Possibly. The Chiefs allowed a mixed 52 factors previously two weeks to low-scoring groups within the Broncos and Texans, so they seem susceptible. — Adam Teicher

Daring prediction: Geno Smith will set a profession excessive in move makes an attempt with at the least 45. The Seahawks are going through the NFL’s highest-scoring offense, their protection is reeling they usually have not had a lot of a run sport to depend on over the previous month. This has the makings of a sport through which the Seahawks are enjoying from behind all afternoon and needing Smith’s arm to maintain them in it. — Brady Henderson

Stat to know: Patrick Mahomes has gained 15 straight regular-season video games towards the NFC, which is tied with Bobby Hebert for the longest win streak in interconference video games because the 1970 merger, in line with Elias Sports activities Bureau knowledge.

What’s at stake: The AFC West champion Chiefs now have a 43% probability to earn the No. 1 seed within the convention and a first-round bye, per ESPN’s FPI. That would rise to 48% with a win or fall to 13% with a loss. The Seahawks, however, are simply making an attempt to get in. They’ve a 34% probability to make the playoffs, which may bounce to 72% with a win or slide to 29% with a loss. See playoff image.

Accidents: Seahawks | Chiefs

What to know for fantasy: No participant, no matter place, has scored extra fantasy factors over the previous two weeks than Chiefs operating again Jerick McKinnon. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Kansas Metropolis’s previous 4 residence video games have gone beneath the whole. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chiefs 34, Seahawks 24
Walder’s choose: Chiefs 33, Seahawks 27
FPI prediction: KC, 87% (by a median of 13.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Seahawks WR Lockett has surgical procedure, may return subsequent week … Chiefs amongst Tremendous Bowl favorites, however three troubling traits loom


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: MIN -4.5 (48)

What to look at for: The Vikings have already clinched the NFC North and have a minimal probability on the No. 1 seed. So the Giants can have far more to play for on this sport; they will clinch a playoff spot with a win and a few assist. Vikings coach Kevin O’Connell mentioned this week that he can be aware of snap counts for key veterans over the ultimate three weeks of the season. Tailback Dalvin Cook dinner may most likely use some further relaxation after enjoying greater than 700 snaps in 2022, the best complete by way of Week 15 in any season of his profession. — Kevin Seifert

Daring prediction: Justin Jefferson will get double-digit catches and over 200 yards receiving. Why not? He did it just a few weeks in the past, and as one Giants participant defined, “There’s nothing he can’t do!” The Vikings can transfer him across the discipline, and the Giants do not have anybody who can stick with him. It does not assist that No. 1 nook Adoree’ Jackson is out with a knee damage. Jefferson vs. Fabian Moreau? Mismatch. Jefferson ought to have his approach and compile his second 200-yard sport in three weeks. — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: The Vikings’ 10 one-score wins this season are tied for essentially the most one-score wins in a season in NFL historical past. The Giants are 8-2-1 in one-score video games in 2022.

What’s at stake: Having already secured the NFC North, the Vikings are actually simply combating for seeding. Probabilities do not look nice for the No. 1 seed, although (0.3%, per ESPN’s FPI). The Giants can clinch a playoff spot with a win and losses from two of Washington, Detroit and Seattle. They’ve a 91% probability to make the playoffs, which works as much as 99% with a win or all the way down to 87% with a loss. See playoff image.

Accidents: Giants | Vikings

What to know for fantasy: Kirk Cousins has been a top-10 fantasy quarterback in three of his previous 4 video games (QB4 final week within the comeback win). See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Overs are 9-3 in Minnesota’s previous 12 video games, together with 4 straight going over. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Giants 28, Vikings 24
Walder’s choose: Vikings 27, Giants 21
FPI prediction: MIN, 70.2% (by a median of 6.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: A wholesome defensive entrance buoys Giants’ playoff push … Jefferson, Hill in race to interrupt receiving mark … Giants’ Jones attributes enchancment to studying ‘what wins within the NFL’ … Vikings weary of unlawful hits aimed toward Jefferson


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CIN -3 (41.5)

What to look at for: Patriots OLB Matthew Judon is coming off a sport through which he performed 49 defensive snaps and did not register on the stat sheet. In a sport through which New England should discover methods to disrupt Bengals QB Joe Burrow, it would want Judon to return to his prior kind. The Bengals rank twenty sixth within the NFL in dashing yards per sport however sixth in passing yards per sport, which displays how coach Invoice Belichick figures to tailor his sport plan towards defending the move. — Mike Reiss

Daring prediction: The Bengals’ operating backs can have 100 mixed receiving yards in a win. New England has a fierce move rush that ought to give the Bengals issues. Meaning Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine needs to be fast choices for Burrow within the passing sport. — Ben Child

Stat to know: The Bengals have misplaced seven straight street video games on the Patriots, with the newest win coming in 1986.

What’s at stake: Cincinnati clinched a playoff spot, and it holds a 60% probability to win the AFC North, per ESPN’s FPI. New England, however, has a 15% probability of constructing the playoffs, which is projected to extend to twenty-eight% with a win or drop to eight% with a loss. See playoff image.

Accidents: Bengals | Patriots

What to know for fantasy: Mixon’s subsequent week as a top-15 operating again because the Week 10 bye will probably be his first. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Cincinnati is 11-1 towards the unfold (ATS) in its previous 12 video games with six straight covers. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bengals 30, Patriots 17
Walder’s choose: Bengals 20, Patriots 19
FPI prediction: CIN, 63.9% (by a median of 4.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Supply: Bengals DE Hubbard (cald) to overlook time … Patriots’ Jones retains ‘kid-like pleasure’ of soccer by mentoring younger QBs … Bengals’ Hurst feels able to return from damage … Patriots say laterals vs. Raiders had been improvised; ‘must be smarter’ … Bengals DE Hendrickson to play with damaged wrist


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BUF -8.5 (39.5)

What to look at for: Payments quarterback Josh Allen and huge receiver Stefon Diggs are near statistical milestones in Week 16, with Allen 143 yards away from his third straight season with 4,000 passing yards and Diggs simply 1 yard away from recording the sixth 1,300-receiving-yard season in franchise historical past. In the meantime, Chicago’s seven-game shedding streak is the second longest within the NFL. With another loss, the Bears will tie their longest streak in crew historical past at eight (2002). — Courtney Cronin

Daring prediction: The Bears will rush for greater than 187 yards, the crew’s league-leading common per sport, regardless of the Payments giving up a median of 106.1 dashing yards (sixth fewest). The Payments will probably be placing an emphasis on stopping the run after the Dolphins ran for 188 yards — the primary time Buffalo has allowed over 100 yards since Week 10. However with a excessive round 10 levels anticipated, and two Payments defensive tackles — Ed Oliver and Jordan Phillips — questionable for the sport, there needs to be alternatives for the Bears’ dashing assault. — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to know: Allen has thrown for 3,857 passing yards this season and is looking for his third straight season with 4,000 passing yards. The one different 4,000-yard season in Payments historical past was by Drew Bledsoe in 2002.

What’s at stake: The Payments clinched a playoff spot final week and may now take residence the AFC East title with a win/tie or a Dolphins loss/tie. And per ESPN’s FPI, they’ve a 56% probability to get the No. 1 seed within the AFC (maintain head-to-head tiebreaker over KC). A win pushes that to 63%, whereas a loss drops it to 22%. The Bears are eradicated and slotted at No. 2 within the projected draft order (14% probability to take the highest spot). See playoff image.

Accidents: Payments | Bears

What to know for fantasy: Gabe Davis has not been a top-40 fantasy receiver in 4 straight video games however does get a good matchup by way of deep passing. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: All seven Buffalo street video games have gone beneath the whole. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Payments 30, Bears 20
Walder’s choose: Bears 24, Payments 23
FPI prediction: BUF, 80.8% (by a median of 10.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Injured Payments stars Hyde, Miller impacting crew off the sector … Bears’ Fields turns into third quarterback to hurry for 1,000 yards in a season … … Bears’ Jenkins out of hospital after injuring neck in sport


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: BAL -6.5 (35)

What to look at for: This options two of the highest operating video games within the NFL: The Ravens rank No. 2 and the Falcons are No. 3. When totaling greater than 180 yards dashing in a sport, Baltimore is 4-2 and Atlanta is 1-3. The Ravens have outrushed their opponent in 13 straight video games, the longest streak in franchise historical past. Baltimore operating again J.Ok. Dobbins has gained 245 yards in two video games since coming back from injured reserve, which leads the NFL over that span. — Jamison Hensley

Daring prediction: Falcons operating again Tyler Allgeier can have one other 100-yard day regardless that he is going through a top-five run protection. If there’s one factor Atlanta has proven all season, it’s that it might probably run on anybody — and is keen to take action. Allgeier, coming off a career-high 139-yard sport towards New Orleans, has averaged at the least 4.9 yards per carry every of the previous 4 weeks. That continues as Allgeier finally ends up with 115 yards and a landing towards the Ravens. — Michael Rothstein

Stat to know: The Ravens are 3-0 vs. the NFC South this season. They might sweep an NFC division for the fourth time in franchise historical past and the third time previously 4 seasons.

play

2:17

Stephen A. Smith breaks down why Lamar Jackson ought to take into account signing someplace in addition to Baltimore within the offseason.

What’s at stake: Baltimore can clinch a playoff spot in Week 16 with a win and a loss by both the Dolphins or Patriots. It additionally has a number of clinching eventualities within the occasion of a tie, and it may even clinch in a single very particular shedding scenario (losses from the Patriots, Browns, Raiders, Titans and Colts). Atlanta, in the meantime, is clinging to its playoff hopes (a 3% probability, per ESPN’s FPI, that rises to 14% with a win). The Falcons are projected to select at No. 7 within the draft and have a 19% probability to maneuver into the highest 5. See playoff image.

Accidents: Falcons | Ravens

What to know for fantasy: Dobbins has been a top-20 operating again in each of his weeks again from damage and seems to be the clear featured again in Baltimore. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its previous 5 video games. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its previous eight video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Ravens 26, Falcons 13
Walder’s choose: Ravens 19, Falcons 16
FPI prediction: BAL, 81% (by a median of 10.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Falcons DC Pees cleared to journey to Baltimore … From .05% to 13%: Inspecting the Ravens’ 10 playoff-clinching eventualities … Ravens declare WR Watkins as Duvernay placed on IR


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CLE -3 (32)

What to look at for: Due largely to Saturday’s snowy, windy and frigid forecast in Cleveland, the whole for this sport is simply 32 factors. That might be the bottom complete for any NFL sport since 2008 Browns-Bengals, when the whole was 31.5 (Cincinnati gained that sport, 14-0). — Jake Trotter

Daring prediction: The Saints can have at the least 40 dashing makes an attempt with excessive winds and snow anticipated in Cleveland. It’ll look much less just like the 39-32 win towards the Seahawks (48 dashing makes an attempt for 235 yards, 4 of which had been kneel-downs), when the Saints blended in at the least 200 yards passing, and extra just like the Saints-Broncos sport in 2020, through which each groups performed it secure and ran on virtually each play due to participant shortages because of COVID-19. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to know: Nick Chubb has 48 profession dashing touchdowns and is looking for to change into the third participant in Browns historical past to succeed in 50 profession dashing TDs (Jim Brown, 106; Leroy Kelly, 74).

What’s at stake: We aren’t prone to see both crew within the playoffs, as ESPN’s FPI says the Saints have a 3% probability whereas the Browns are beneath 1%. Worse, neither crew has its first-round draft choose in April. See playoff image.

Accidents: Saints | Browns

What to know for fantasy: Amari Cooper’s subsequent end as a top-40 receiver with Deshaun Watson beneath middle will probably be his first. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: New Orleans is 1-5 ATS on the street this season. Cleveland has gained and lined three straight residence video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Browns 26, Saints 20
Walder’s choose: Saints 20, Browns 17
FPI prediction: CLE, 54.8% (by a median of 1.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Saints TE Johnson is a TikTok star, a juggling aficionado and, these days, a TD machine … Browns’ Watson tosses TD move in ‘particular’ residence debut … Saints rule out Olave, put Landry on IR … Browns’ enhancing protection too little, too late


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: TEN -3 (35.5)

What to look at for: The Titans’ lead over the Jaguars within the AFC South has dwindled to half a sport within the midst of their four-game shedding streak. Because the sense of urgency intensifies, the Texans may very well be the right treatment, however their two-quarterback scheme will check Tennessee’s protection. Look ahead to quarterback Malik Willis, who will doubtless make his third NFL begin after exhibiting an improved capability to progress by way of his reads in fill-in time for Ryan Tannehill final week, in line with Mike Vrabel. — Turron Davenport

Daring prediction: The Texans snag their second win of the season. The Titans are with out quarterback Tannehill, so Willis will begin. It’s going to be the second time the Texans face Willis, who threw for 55 yards and an interception of their first matchup. The Texans allowed Derrick Henry to hurry for 219 yards and two touchdowns. The Texans will probably be higher ready for the Henry present, as they’re permitting 139 dashing yards per sport previously 4 video games, an enchancment from the 178 yards per sport they had been giving up earlier than. — DJ Bien-Aime

Stat to know: The Titans have not misplaced 5 straight video games inside a season since a six-game streak from Weeks 2 to eight in 2015 — the season earlier than they drafted Henry.

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1:06

Dan Orlovsky dissects the playoff possibilities for the Titans with quarterback Ryan Tannehill injured.

What’s at stake: Based on ESPN’s FPI, the Titans have a 59% probability to make the playoffs, which rises to 64% with a win or falls to 48% with a loss. And the Texans could be eradicated, however they’ve a 83% probability to complete with the highest choose within the 2023 draft. The truth is, they will clinch it with a loss and a Bears win. See playoff image.

Accidents: Texans | Titans

What to know for fantasy: 892 dashing yards and 9 touchdowns. That’s Henry’s dashing line over his previous 4 video games towards the Texans. 4 video games. That is related work on the bottom to what Bengals operating again Joe Mixon has produced in his previous 16 video games (949 dashing yards and 7 touchdowns). See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Houston is 16-7 ATS towards Tennessee since 2011 (5-4 ATS vs Vrabel). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Titans 23, Texans 20
Walder’s choose: Titans 26, Texans 10
FPI prediction: TEN, 56.7% (by a median of two factors)

Matchup must-reads: Tunsil lone Texan to make Professional Bowl roster … Sources: Titans QB Tannehill (ankle) ‘very doubtless’ out for season


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DET -2.5 (44)

What to look at for: The Panthers and Lions are within the playoff hunt, however for various causes. The Panthers are solely a sport behind Tampa Bay as a result of the NFC South is down, not as a result of they have been enjoying nice. The Lions are within the hunt for a wild-card spot as a result of they’ve been enjoying nice, profitable six of their previous seven video games. The important thing for each groups is the operating sport. Carolina is 0-6 when it averages lower than 4 yards a carry. Detroit ranks 14th within the league in dashing with 126.1 yards a sport. — David Newton

Daring prediction: Lions QB Jared Goff will prolong the longest streak of his profession to seven consecutive video games with out an interception. Goff has the Lions’ offense rolling as he continues to handle the video games and play environment friendly soccer. With the Lions within the playoff hunt and a lot at stake, I do not envision Goff regressing at this level. — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: Goff has gone 4 straight video games with 35-plus makes an attempt and no interceptions. Doing so in a fifth straight sport would tie the third-longest streak within the Tremendous Bowl period (Tom Brady’s seven in 2022, Drew Brees’ six in 2015-16).

What’s at stake: The Lions have a 28% probability to make the playoffs, in line with ESPN’s FPI. That goes as much as 47% with a win and all the way down to 13% with a loss. And the Panthers have an 18% probability to make the playoffs, which climbs to 26% with a win or falls to eight% with a loss. See playoff image.

Accidents: Lions | Panthers

What to know for fantasy: DJ Moore has been a top-20 receiver in every of his previous two video games, matching his season complete previous to this stretch. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Detroit has lined in seven straight video games, its longest single-season cowl streak within the Tremendous Bowl period. The Lions have gained and lined three straight street video games. Detroit has by no means gained and lined 4 straight street video games within the Tremendous Bowl period. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Lions 27, Panthers 17
Walder’s choose: Panthers 26, Lions 24
FPI prediction: CAR, 58.5% (by a median of two.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Believing Lions proceed playoff push forward of Carolina conflict … After Sunday’s loss, Panthers nonetheless management playoff future however must ‘get ourselves proper’


4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: SF -7 (37.5)

What to look at for: The 49ers are driving a seven-game win streak, have clinched the NFC West Division and may drop to no decrease than No. 3 within the NFC playoffs, however as long as the No. 2 seed is in attain, they plan to maintain pushing for it. The Commanders, in the meantime, are clinging to a playoff spot and will use a win right here on a brief week whereas touring throughout the nation in what will probably be a battle between two of the NFL’s four-best defenses in terms of common yards allowed per sport. — Nick Wagoner

Daring prediction: Quarterback Carson Wentz will play for Washington. He’ll return as a result of the 49ers’ protection — ranked first in each scoring and yards — will make life depressing for Taylor Heinicke. If Washington does not transfer the ball within the first half and falls behind by, say, two scores, then search for Wentz, who final performed Oct. 13 earlier than breaking his proper ring finger. Heinicke has began the previous eight video games. Whereas the crew is 5-2-1 with him, the offense ranks twentieth in scoring regardless of being thirteenth in yards. It isn’t all on Heinicke, however the 49ers will make Washington determined for a second-half spark. — John Keim

Stat to know: Heinicke has a ten.6 QBR and averages 3.9 yards per dropback on third down this season — each the worst within the NFL. His 51% completion share on third down this season ranks thirty first out of 33 certified quarterbacks.

What’s at stake: The Niners are NFC West champs, however the Commanders nonetheless have rather a lot on the road. ESPN’s FPI provides them a 35% probability to make the playoffs. Win, and that may go as much as 65%. Lose? Count on a drop to 22%. See playoff image.

Accidents: Commanders | 49ers

What to know for fantasy: 49ers tight finish George Kittle scored twice final week however has not caught greater than 4 passes in a sport since October. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: San Francisco is 8-2 ATS in convention video games this season. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: 49ers 25, Commanders 13
Walder’s choose: 49ers 29, Commanders 21
FPI prediction: SF, 67.4% (by a median of 5.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Commanders sticking with Heinicke at QB for now … McCaffrey has been focus of 49ers’ second-half surge … Commanders enter essential stretch with little margin for error … Purdy passes one other check to guide 49ers to NFC West title … Commanders’ Younger will play vs. 49ers … Getting 49ers’ sixth Tremendous Bowl title motivation for GM John Lynch


4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DAL -5 (46.5)

What to look at for: The Eagles can clinch the NFC East title and home-field benefit with a win that should come with out beginning quarterback Jalen Hurts, who has a sprained proper shoulder. With a win, the Cowboys can preserve their small hopes for a division title alive and maybe ship a message for a possible playoff rematch. Philadelphia gained the primary assembly of the yr, however the Cowboys didn’t have Dak Prescott, who was within the remaining phases of a return from a fractured proper thumb. — Todd Archer

Daring prediction: The Cowboys will probably be held to twenty factors or fewer. That hasn’t occurred since Prescott returned to the beginning lineup in Week 7. The truth is, Dallas has averaged 35.5 factors per sport since Prescott got here again from his thumb damage. However the Eagles’ protection is No. 1 in move protection (172.4 yards per sport), interceptions (15) and sacks (55). With Hurts out of the lineup, the protection will elevate its sport to safe the win and the No. 1 general seed within the NFC. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: The Eagles’ protection has recorded six-plus sacks in three consecutive video games, which is tied for the second-longest streak because the NFL first started monitoring crew sacks in 1963.

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1:02

Tyler Fulghum says he expects fireworks from each the Eagles and the Cowboys, main him to take the over on complete factors.

What’s at stake: Philadelphia will shut out the NFC East title with a win or tie. And it might probably even clinch the highest seed within the convention with both a win or a tie plus a Vikings loss/tie. Dallas joins Philadelphia as a playoff crew, however its hopes of overtaking the Eagles for the division are bleak (1%, per ESPN’s FPI). See playoff image.

Accidents: Eagles | Cowboys

What to know for fantasy: Miles Sanders was the second-highest-scoring operating again from Weeks 12 to 14 earlier than delivering a RB64 end in Week 15 (1.9 fantasy factors). See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Every of the previous 4 conferences between the Cowboys and Eagles went over the whole. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Eagles 31, Cowboys 28
Walder’s choose: Eagles 24, Cowboys 20
FPI prediction: DAL, 70.1% (by a median of 6.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: What the Eagles wish to see from Minshew … Can the Cowboys keep away from one other playoff flop? … NFC East showdown: Do the Eagles have the higher roster? … Jerry Jones: Odds Cowboys signal Beckham Jr. in ’22 fading … Philly leads Professional Bowl with eight choices


8:15 p.m. ET | NFL Community | Unfold: PIT -2.5 (38.5)

What to look at for: That is going to be an old-school smashmouth soccer sport, the suitable solution to honor the fiftieth anniversary of the “Immaculate Reception” and the reminiscence of Steelers legendary operating again Franco Harris, who died instantly this week. “We do look forward to honoring him and his legacy this weekend,” coach Mike Tomlin mentioned Wednesday. Temperatures at kickoff are projected to be within the single digits with a wind chill beneath zero. This can open the door for a sport dominated on the bottom by Steelers operating again Najee Harris and the Raiders’ Josh Jacobs, the NFL’s dashing chief. — Brooke Pryor

Daring prediction: Neither the freezing climate nor the Steelers’ No. 7 run protection will sluggish Jacobs, who leads the NFL with 1,495 dashing yards, from becoming a member of his idol within the file ebook on Christmas Eve. Jacobs wants simply 5 dashing yards, however 142 all-purpose yards, to hitch Marcus Allen as the one gamers in Raiders franchise historical past with 1,500-plus rush yards and a pair of,000-plus scrimmage yards in a single season. Allen completed the feat in his 1985 NFL MVP season. — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: A Steelers loss ensures their first shedding season since 2003 (6-10), which might snap a streak of 18 consecutive seasons with no shedding file — the third-longest streak in NFL historical past after the Cowboys (21 straight from 1965 to 1985) and Patriots (19 straight from 2001 to 2019).

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1:58

Chris Berman reacts to the dying of Steelers legend Franco Harris, who was 72.

What’s at stake: ESPN’s FPI has each groups beneath 5% to make the playoffs, and every has an elimination state of affairs in play in Week 16. The Raiders will probably be out with a loss, a Chargers win and a win from the Dolphins or Patriots. And the Steelers can be eradicated with a loss or wins from the Chargers and Dolphins. Las Vegas is projected to have the No. 10 draft slot, whereas Pittsburgh is at No. 12. See playoff image.

Accidents: Raiders | Steelers

What to know for fantasy: Davante Adams was held to beneath 40 yards final week by the Patriots, the second time that has occurred because the starting of October. His follow-up sport the final time it occurred? Season highs in catches (10) and targets (17) for 146 yards and a pair of scores. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Las Vegas has lined 5 straight conferences. Tomlin is 1-6 ATS and 2-5 outright towards Las Vegas regardless of being favored in every sport. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Steelers 24, Raiders 14
Walder’s choose: Raiders 26, Steelers 19
FPI prediction: LV, 55.7% (by a median of 1.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: There’s nonetheless an opportunity: How the Raiders could make the playoffs … Franco Harris embraced his personal Steelers legend by way of remaining hours … Raiders stun Patriots in ‘unbelievable’ ending … Sports activities world reacts to the dying of Steelers nice Franco Harris … Trubisky receives vindication in what could be his Steelers curtain name


Sunday, 1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: MIA -3.5 (50)

What to look at for: The Dolphins would like to preserve the ball out of Aaron Rodgers’ arms, however they’ve struggled to manage the ball throughout their three-game shedding streak. Since Week 13, Miami ranks final within the league in common time of possession per drive; Inexperienced Bay, however, is second within the league in the identical class. The Dolphins additionally rank twenty eighth throughout that time-frame in third down protection, permitting opponents to transform on 49% of makes an attempt. That should enhance in the event that they wish to finish this skid and additional solidify themselves within the AFC playoff image. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Daring prediction: Regardless that the Dolphins have the Tenth-best run protection within the NFL, the Packers will rating a number of dashing touchdowns. AJ Dillon has run for 3 scores previously two video games, and the Packers had a number of dashing touchdowns in consecutive video games towards the Bears and Rams. However they have not had a number of dashing scores in three straight video games since 2009. — Rob Demovsky

Stat to know: Mason Crosby is anticipated to play in his 256th profession sport Sunday, which might break a tie with Brett Favre for many in Packers franchise historical past (each Favre and Crosby by no means missed a sport).

What’s at stake: The Dolphins enter Week 16 with a 75% probability of constructing the playoffs, per ESPN’s FPI. Probabilities improve to 82% with a win or drop to 64% with a loss (impartial of what occurs Saturday). The Packers, although, have a 12% probability that improves to 26% with a win. And Inexperienced Bay can truly be eradicated Sunday with a loss and a Commanders win. See playoff image.

Accidents: Packers | Dolphins

What to know for fantasy: Packers receiver Christian Watson was (lastly) held out of the top zone, however his utilization (4 catches, six targets) mirrored that of his historic four-game stretch, even with Romeo Doubs again. Watson has elite upside, however video games like this (46 yards) are very a lot within the vary of outcomes. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Tua Tagovailoa is 12-4 ATS in his profession at residence. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Dolphins 32, Packers 24
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 41, Packers 17
FPI prediction: MIA, 58.6% (by a median of two.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Rodgers on Packers’ playoff push: ‘Issues are wanting up … No ‘ethical victories,’ however Dolphins inspired regardless of loss to the Payments


Sunday, 4:30 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: DEN -2.5 (36.5)

What to look at for: The Broncos are 0-6 in true street video games this season — they gained in London because the designated street crew — however have not gone winless on the street since they went 0-7 in 1964. Quarterback Russell Wilson, in his first season in Denver, is 8-13 towards the Rams, together with the playoffs, his most losses towards any opponent. — Sarah Barshop

Daring prediction: Wilson, who was held out of final weekend’s sport towards the Cardinals, can have this third sport of the season with two or extra landing passes. However — and it is a vital however — provided that Wilson exhibits extra persistence towards the Rams’ heavy dose of zone coverages with cornerbacks in off-coverage. Wilson has been too fast to move on loads of obtainable completions within the brief and intermediate areas in favor of high-risk throws to bracketed receivers. If he avoids that, the Broncos will transfer the ball. — Jeff Legwold

Stat to know: The Rams have gained 4 straight conferences vs. the Broncos. The Broncos’ most up-to-date win vs. the Rams was Week 1 in 2002, when the Broncos had been quarterbacked by Brian Griese and the Rams had been quarterbacked by Kurt Warner and based mostly in St. Louis.

What’s at stake: Here is a straightforward one. Each groups have been eradicated from playoff rivalry … and each groups not have a first-round draft choose to concern themselves with. See playoff image.

Accidents: Broncos | Rams

What to know for fantasy: Cam Akers totaled 100 yards towards the Packers on Monday evening, and his three catches (he had a complete of two since September coming into that sport) had been encouraging. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Denver has lined three straight video games after beginning the season 3-8 ATS. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Broncos 17, Rams 13
Walder’s choose: Broncos 16, Rams 10
FPI prediction: LAR, 53.8% (by a median of 1.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How Broncos preserve Demaryius Thomas’ legacy going … Stafford says he has no plans to retire this offseason … Former Broncos RB Hillman dies of most cancers at 31 … ‘Very humbling season’: Rams out of playoff image


Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: TB -7.5 (40)

What to look at for: Cardinals third-string quarterback Hint McSorley — the previous Penn State star in his fourth NFL season — will get his first profession begin Sunday beneath the intense lights of prime-time soccer on Christmas evening. That is all it is advisable learn about this sport. He is been taking his first actual apply snaps of the season this week, which coach Kliff Kingsbury hopes will give McSorley a combating probability towards a quick Tampa Bay protection. — Josh Weinfuss

Daring prediction: Assuming the Bucs do not have a second-half collapse like final week, they’re going to rush for 120 yards — their third-highest complete of the season. The Cardinals have surrendered 356 fantasy factors towards the push this season, the seventh most of any crew. — Jenna Laine

Stat to know: Mike Evans wants 112 receiving yards for his ninth consecutive 1,000-yard receiving season, which might tie Tim Brown for the second-longest streak all time (Jerry Rice, 11 straight). Evans already owns the longest streak of 1,000-yard receiving seasons to begin a profession.

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Mike Tannenbaum and Dan Graziano aren’t assured that Tom Brady will retire however hope he does.

What’s at stake: Regardless of a 6-8 file, the Buccaneers nonetheless have a 76% probability to win the NFC South, per ESPN’s FPI. That might enhance to 82% with a win Sunday or fall to 61% with a loss. The Cardinals are eradicated from the playoffs however are projected to have the third choose within the draft. See playoff image.

Accidents: Buccaneers | Cardinals

What to know for fantasy: Evans was the Twenty ninth-highest-scoring receiver in Week 15, a ground kind of sport in earlier years however his greatest end since Week 8 this season. Powerful yr, however enjoying on a pass-centric offense ought to preserve him in your radar. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Tom Brady is 2-15 ATS in his previous 17 prime-time video games, together with playoffs. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Buccaneers 27, Cardinals 12
Walder’s choose: Buccaneers 23, Cardinals 7
FPI prediction: TB, 77% (by a median of 8.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Wirfs lone Buccaneer to make Professional Bowl roster … Cardinals’ McCoy out; McSorley set for first NFL begin … One sport aside: Here is a breakdown of the chaotic NFC South heading into the playoffs


Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: LAC -4.5 (45.5)

What to look at for: The Colts are beginning their third quarterback of the season as they flip to Nick Foles after benching Matt Ryan for the second time. Foles has began only one sport previously two seasons, main the Bears to a win over the Seahawks in Week 16 final season. And since Foles has been restricted virtually completely to scout-team duties this season in Indianapolis, he has not had a lot alternative to work with the beginning offense since coaching camp. That ought to make for an attention-grabbing sport plan. — Stephen Holder

Daring prediction: Regardless of enjoying not too long ago with out Professional Bowl security Derwin James Jr., who’s nursing a quadriceps damage, the Chargers’ protection is hitting its stride, permitting a median of 15.5 factors over the previous two video games. Look ahead to Khalil Mack and the Bolts to file 5 sacks towards Foles, who will probably be enjoying behind an offensive line with a league-worst 46.9% move block win price. — Lindsey Thiry

Stat to know: Austin Ekeler has 95 receptions this season (21 greater than another RB). He may change into the fifth RB in NFL historical past with 100 receptions in a season.

What’s at stake: Some extra clinching eventualities right here. The Chargers clinch a playoff berth with a win and a Raiders loss/tie plus one among these two outcomes: (1) loss by the Patriots or (2) loss by the Dolphins, plus a Patriots tie. ESPN’s FPI has L.A. at 94% to make the playoffs. On the flip aspect, the Colts had been eradicated Thursday when the Jaguars gained. Indy is wanting on the No. 6 draft choose. See playoff image.

Accidents: Chargers | Colts

What to know for fantasy: Michael Pittman Jr. has been a top-25 receiver in three of his previous 4 video games and will proceed to supply an elevated ground with Jonathan Taylor on the shelf. See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Overs are 4-1 in Indianapolis video games beneath interim coach Jeff Saturday, together with a present three-game streak. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chargers 28, Colts 23
Walder’s choose: Chargers 24, Colts 13
FPI prediction: LAC, 72.6% (by a median of seven factors)

Matchup must-reads: How the Chargers can clinch a playoff spot … Colts bench QB Ryan, to begin Foles vs. Chargers … Chargers CB Jackson arrested after ‘household problem’