NFL odds: Fade Cowboys, different finest Week 3 preseason bets

By Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports activities NFL Analyst

The ultimate weekend of NFL preseason video games is upon us. It looks like we have been simply watching the NFL Draft yesterday. And now right here we’re, T-minus two weeks till the common season kicks off.

As excited as all of us are, there’s nonetheless some exhibition soccer left to play earlier than we are able to get to the principle occasion. Saturday, particularly, will likely be jampacked with eight contests. However I am specializing in three video games from this last preseason week, with picks that may hopefully earn us all some money.

Let’s dive into my wagers for Week 3 of this NFL preseason, with all odds by way of FOX Guess.

THURSDAY

Packers @ Chiefs (8 p.m. ET, NFLN) 

Inexperienced Bay Packers

GB

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

KC

Each groups are going to have bother scoring Thursday night time. The Packers are usually not taking part in Aaron Rodgers or any of their starters. Heck, Inexperienced Bay won’t even play backup quarterback Jordan Love, and he has gotten a majority of the quarterback reps for the group this preseason. 

Kansas Metropolis will not play its starters, both. However the Chiefs’ beginning items did carry out exceptionally nicely in opposition to the Commanders in a matchup they received 14-0. Nevertheless, when the Chiefs don’t play their starters on offense within the preseason, they don’t rating. 

The Chiefs have solely scored a mixed 36 second-half factors over their previous 5 preseason video games. As I’ve acknowledged earlier than, Andy Reid’s major purpose for preseason video games is getting his first-team offense able to play whereas the backups are simply operating a generic offense. With the backups, Reid does not try to script for optimum success like he does with those. 

So the Chiefs received’t rating on this sport. And with the Packers’ backups taking part in all sport, I’d count on the identical low-scoring output from them as nicely.

PICK: Below 36 factors scored by each groups mixed 

FRIDAY

Seahawks @ Cowboys (8 p.m. ET, NFLN)

Seattle Seahawks

SEA

Dallas Cowboys

DAL

I do know the Seahawks have been smelly this preseason, however they want this sport greater than the Cowboys. Seattle remains to be going by a quarterback battle, and I might count on Drew Lock — who didn’t play in Week 2 due to COVID-19 — to get a variety of the reps for the Seahawks. 

Due to the QB battle, the Seahawks will deal with this sport with extra respect and preparation than their counterparts. Dallas, by the way in which, is coached by Mike McCarthy, and his preseason report in opposition to the unfold (ATS) is below 50%. On the opposite facet is Pete Carroll, who — regardless of not protecting the primary two video games of this preseason — remains to be 62% ATS within the preseason. 

PICK: Seahawks (-7 at FOX Guess) to win by greater than 7 factors

SATURDAY

Commanders @ Ravens (7 p.m., TV TBA)

The Ravens have received 22 straight preseason video games, they usually’ve lined in 19 of these 22 matchups. I do know it appears wild, however there’s a proof. 

Ravens’ opponents don’t put together for his or her offense within the preseason, and the Ravens are typically a technically sound group. They don’t flip the ball over they usually play good protection. Additionally, Baltimore’s backup quarterbacks have crushed the preseason. Tyler Huntley has accomplished an superior 29 of 32 passes (91%) and rookie Anthony Brown has gone 20 of 28 (71%). 

The Commanders don’t play the Ravens this common season, so there’s little to realize from spending any actual devoted time getting ready a sport plan for this last preseason sport. It is also value noting that the Commanders have spent many of the preseason being blah. They wanted 15 factors within the fourth quarter in opposition to Carolina of their first preseason sport to complete with a two-point loss. Towards Kansas Metropolis, they solely scored seven factors within the second half.  

Ravens are the simple wager right here.

PICK: Ravens (-6.5 at FOX Guess) to win by greater than 6.5 factors

Geoff Schwartz performed eight seasons within the NFL for 5 completely different groups. He began at proper sort out for the College of Oregon for 3 seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 choice his senior yr. He’s an NFL analyst for FOX Sports activities. Observe him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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