College soccer odds: Best over/below futures bets for each Power 5

The canine days of summer season are rapidly coming to an finish, and bettors are enthusiastic about getting the prospect to money in on some faculty soccer motion. 

And in terms of the College Soccer Playoff (CFP), apart from final 12 months’s outlier Cincinnati crew, the four-team match has been dominated by blue blood, Power 5 applications. Basically, all roads to the natty undergo the SEC, Massive Ten, ACC, Pac-12 or Massive 12. And if we’re being brutally sincere, the trail to the title actually goes by way of the SEC.

Forward of the season, followers and gamblers love to take a position about what number of video games every crew will win. Between the NFL Draft, the switch portal and unlucky accidents, no crew’s roster appears similar from one 12 months to the following. So deciding the place to finances your bucks on each squad’s projected win whole within the wake of all that motion might be difficult. That is the place our very personal FOX Sports activities analyst Geoff Schwartz steps in to avoid wasting the day.

Geoff — former Oregon Duck and NFL lineman — breaks down his finest over/below win totals for each Power 5 convention. Can the Florida Gators be aggressive within the SEC and win greater than 6.5 video games? Will the Buckeyes exceed 10.5 victories for a near-perfect common season? How concerning the Sooners? With Lincoln Riley at USC and a brand new regime in place, is the below Oklahoma’s future?

Let’s dive into the over/below bets our skilled thinks are definitely worth the sprinkle forward of this thrilling faculty soccer season (all odds by way of FOX Wager).

SEC

Texas A&MOver 8.5 wins: -200 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $15 whole)

The A&M schedule units up for the Aggies to win at the least 9 video games. They need to beat three of their 4 non-conference opponents with ease. In Week 3, A&M faces Miami at dwelling. The Hurricanes have a brand-new teaching employees and can nonetheless be figuring issues out that early within the season, so A&M must be favored by at the least a landing.

The Aggies’ SEC West schedule is at all times powerful, however they catch a break with their SEC East cross-conference matchups. They don’t play Georgia, Kentucky or Tennessee — the highest three SEC East groups final 12 months.

I am taking Texas A&M to exceed the projected win whole.

FloridaOver 6.5 wins: -175 at FOX Wager (wager $10 win $15.71 whole)

Florida’s 2021 season was a story of two halves. The Gators began the season 4-2, together with a two-point loss to the Tide the place they managed the road of scrimmage. Sadly for former Florida coach Dan Mullen, they limped to the end line, getting dominated by Georgia and South Carolina and barely beating Samford on the way in which to a 6-7 end. Mullen was changed by former Louisiana coach Billy Napier, and issues are trying up for the Gators in 2022.

In accordance with Invoice Connelly’s SP+ rankings, Florida completed the 2021 season ranked twenty third on offense, thirty ninth on protection and thirtieth general. 

General, this is what’s going to assist Florida hit the over: new teaching, higher self-discipline all around the subject and higher turnover luck. If the Gators do all of that, that crew can have extra wins than losses.

Massive Ten

MichiganUnderneath 9.5 wins: +100 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $20 whole)

Coach Jim Harbaugh gained at the least 10 video games in 2015 and in 2016. He additionally acquired to 10 wins in 2018 after which once more final season. Harbaugh and his yo-yo document will likely be again this season. Search for Michigan to win 9 video games. 

Michigan’s offense exploded final season behind the Joe Moore Award-winning offensive line and Broyles Award-winning offensive coordinator Josh Gattis. However that unit will look completely different going into the upcoming season. Two offensive line starters are gone, and Gattis has moved to Miami to run the Canes’ offense. Michigan’s offense will take a step again with out these items. Nonetheless, they do return huge receiver Ronnie Bell — the crew’s best choice for explosive performs on the huge receiver place. However that will not be sufficient.

On the intense aspect, Massive Blue does catch a break with its schedule, as UM solely has 4 highway video games. Michigan’s non-conference schedule is all cupcakes, so the squad ought to begin 3-0. If they’ll keep away from a house upset towards Michigan State or Penn State, wagering on this below may spell bother. However a loss to Ohio State after which losses in two of the three video games between the Penn State, Michigan State and Iowa matchups ought to assist this below money.

Ohio StateOver 10.5 wins: -200 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $15 whole)

The margin of error for an over wager of 10.5 wins is slim. Ohio State can solely afford to lose a single recreation for this wager to hit. However, the Buckeyes gained 10 common season video games final 12 months, in what some would think about a down season. 

OSU’s offense appeared sluggish at instances final season, however the unit additionally scored 1,000,000 factors. Defensively, they appeared out of types towards Oregon and Michigan, however I see them enhancing on that entrance. A brand new defensive scheme that ought to create extra appears and selection will assist the Buckeyes’ protection get after the passer and never permit so many yards. 

On offense, they’re guided by Heisman hopeful C.J. Stroud, who threw for 44 touchdowns and 4,435 yards final season whereas finishing almost 72% of his passes. Ohio State has powerful highway video games at Michigan State and Penn State, however they get Notre Dame, Michigan and Wisconsin at dwelling. Taking part in these powerful opponents at dwelling as an alternative of on the highway will work within the Buckeyes’ favor.

Ohio State will win 11 video games this season, thus cashing this ticket.

Pac-12

USC Underneath 9.5 wins: +130 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $23 whole)

USC will rating a ton of factors this season, however its opponents can even rating a ton of factors this season. If I may wager the over for each one of many crew’s video games this season, I might do this now.

Being an OL man, the most important query that involves my thoughts is can USC block and deal with effectively sufficient to win 10 video games? I’m undecided, which scares me. And the way rapidly can all of the transfers gel, study new schemes and play with confidence? I’m undecided about that both.

USC’s schedule isn’t powerful, particularly because the Trojans do not should play convention rivals Oregon or Washington. However they do journey to Oregon State and Utah, two groups that humiliated them on their dwelling turf within the Coliseum by speeding for a mixed 502 yards. 

Lincoln Riley getting 10 wins in his first season as head coach is simply too formidable. Give me the plus-money with the below.

UtahOver 8.5 wins: -118 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $18.47 whole)

This one shocked me as we’ve seen Utah win at the least 9 video games over their final three full seasons (throw out the COVID-19 12 months for each single dialogue about this sport). 

Coming into the 2022 season, Utah’s offense is the healthiest it has been in years. The crew returns quarterback Cam Rising and working again Tavion Thomas. Rising will likely be within the Heisman dialog, even when just for just a few whispers. And Thomas rushed for 1,109 yards on 204 carries final 12 months, so anticipate him to have an effect once more. The Utes did substitute their two finest linemen, however their scheme ought to permit them to proceed rolling on offense.

Defensively, whereas the Utes should substitute their two center linebackers, this crew returns virtually everybody else from a top-tier unit. 

If Utah stays wholesome, they may win 10 video games or extra this season.

ACC

Wake ForestOver 8.5 wins: +100 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $20 whole)

The Deacons have been in a position to win 11 video games final season due to their offense, which completed fifth in factors per scoring alternative. They averaged 41 factors per recreation utilizing their slow-mesh fashion which is extraordinarily irritating for groups to defend. Wake returns its quarterback, 4 offensive linemen and a bunch of talent place gamers. 

The Deacons’ protection was not good final season, however they gained regardless of that. Purdue completed twenty fifth on protection final season, however a change at coordinator — the addition of Purdue’s former defensive play caller — ought to assist. Wake’s schedule options VMI, Vandy and Liberty, and all three of these video games must be wins. 

Wake Forest will likely be favored in dwelling video games towards Duke, Syracuse, North Carolina, Military and Boston College. The Demon Deacons will win at the least 9 video games.

PittsburghOver 7.5 wins: -167 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $15.99 whole)

This quantity shocked me. It seems like an overreaction to some roster motion. 

Sure, Kenny Pickett is gone, however he’s being changed by USC switch Kedon Slovis. In a practical offense with a powerful offensive line, Slovis will likely be superb. Pittsburgh returns its complete offensive line, and whereas they do lose Jordan Addison, I don’t suppose shedding one dynamic receiver will make or break the season. 

The Panthers return six All-ACC defensive starters from a unit that completed seventh in sack price and twenty ninth general. 

Pitt has sufficient expertise and a positive sufficient schedule to win eight video games. 

Massive 12

OklahomaOver 8.5 wins: -167 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $15.99 whole)

I don’t perceive this quantity. This win-total projection should replicate oddsmakers’ uncertainty concerning the prowess of latest head coach Brent Venables. As a result of this quantity isn’t primarily based on Oklahoma’s expertise or schedule.

The Sooners open with 5 video games the place they are going to be closely favored, together with a Week 3 matchup at Nebraska. Then they get Texas and Kansas earlier than a bye week. At worst, they are going to be 5-2 after seven video games. Then after enjoying Iowa State, West Virginia and Texas Tech — assuming they go into that stretch at 5-2 — the Sooners ought to have eight wins. After that, OU might want to beat both Baylor or Oklahoma State to get to 9 Ws on the season.

I can see Oklahoma at 7-0 earlier than the bye week. That is why for me, that is a simple over. 

Iowa StateUnderneath 6.5 wins: -110 at FOX Wager (wager $10 to win $19.09)

I perceive the love head coach Matt Campbell has gotten for his work at Iowa State. 

The Cyclones gained 11 mixed video games within the 4 seasons earlier than Campbell arrived. In his first season, he solely had three wins. Since then, Campbell’s squad has gained at the least seven video games a 12 months. Nonetheless, Iowa State massively underachieved final season, which worries me as a result of that vitality would possibly carry over into this 12 months. 

Iowa State’s protection fared a tad higher than the offense final season. The D was considerably well-rounded; the unit was good towards the run, move and respectable on third downs. The priority for this roster is that it misplaced 63% of manufacturing from final season, and so they’ve solely recruited 4 blue-chip prospects within the final 4 recruiting cycles. 

The Cyclones have to interchange a ton of manufacturing whereas enjoying a schedule that options heavyweights in Baylor, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Texas. They won’t be the favourite in lots of convention video games this season. 

The below simply is sensible right here.

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