NFL Week 15 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, stats, fantasy ideas

The Week 15 NFL schedule for the 2022 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have you lined with what you should know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the most important keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Info gives an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe arms out useful fantasy soccer intel, as properly. Lastly, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us remaining rating picks for each sport. All the pieces you wish to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the complete Week 15 slate, together with three Saturday matchups, Jalen Hurts vs. Justin Fields, Raiders coach Josh McDaniels dealing with his outdated Patriots crew and an NFC East battle between the Giants and Commanders. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Rams and the Packers on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday except in any other case famous.)

Leap to a matchup:
IND-MIN | BAL-CLE | MIA-BUF
DET-NYJ | PHI-CHI | PIT-CAR
KC-HOU | DAL-JAX | ATL-NO
NE-LV | ARI-DEN | CIN-TB
TEN-LAC | NYG-WSH | LAR-GB

Thursday: SF 21, SEA 13

Saturday, 1 p.m. ET | NFL Community | Unfold: MIN -4.5 (48.5)

What to observe for: The Vikings are 4-0 in opposition to AFC groups this season by way of their sweep of the AFC East, a sneaky-impressive cause they’re on the cusp of the NFC North title. They’re going to clinch the division with a win over the Colts. The Colts are 0-3 in opposition to the NFC this season and, with a 42.9 crew QBR — the ninth-lowest within the NFL — don’t seem geared up to capitalize on the Vikings’ struggling move protection. — Kevin Seifert

Daring prediction: The Colts will restrict Justin Jefferson to fewer than 100 receiving yards. Sure, Jefferson has eclipsed 100 yards in eight of 13 video games this season. And, sure, he had a 223-yard efficiency in opposition to the Lions final Sunday. However Indianapolis, largely due to the play of veteran cornerback Stephon Gilmore, has allowed simply two 100-yard particular person efforts this season (from Terry McLaurin and Davante Adams). — Stephen Holder

Stat to know: Jefferson has an NFL-best 1,500 receiving yards this season. He wants 133 extra receiving yards to set a brand new Vikings single-season file (Randy Moss had 1,632 receiving yards in 2003).

What’s at stake: The Vikings can clinch the NFC North title with a win or tie, or if the Lions lose or tie. For context, the Lions would wish to go 4-0 and the Vikings would wish to go 0-4 the remainder of the way in which for Detroit to win the division. The Colts, in the meantime, are clinging to a 1% probability to make the playoffs and seem far more destined for a top-five draft choose (24%), per ESPN’s FPI. See playoff image.

Accidents: Colts | Vikings

What to know for fantasy: Lions WR Michael Pittman Jr. was drafted as a fantasy starter this summer time, however he has produced greater than 13.5 factors simply as soon as since Week 7. The Vikings have allowed the second-most fantasy factors to WRs this season, so if there was ever a time … See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: After going over solely as soon as within the first 9 video games, Colts video games have been over the entire three of the previous 4 contests. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Vikings 34, Colts 24
Walder’s choose: Vikings 30, Colts 23
FPI prediction: MIN, 69.4% (by a mean of 5.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Jeff Saturday’s hope to be everlasting Colts coach ‘not wavering’ … Vikings try to repair one of many NFL’s worst defenses … Week 15 playoff-clinching situations


Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET | NFL Community | Unfold: CLE -2.5 (37)

What to observe for: The Browns personal the second-lowest offensive complete EPA (anticipated factors added) within the two video games since Deshaun Watson returned from his 11-game suspension for violating the NFL’s private conduct coverage for committing sexual assault, as outlined by the NFL. The Browns’ EPA of minus-26.28 is best than solely that of the last-place Texans (minus-27.96) over the previous two weeks. — Jake Trotter

Daring prediction: Nick Chubb will run for 100 yards. The Ravens have the NFL’s second-best run protection (81.2 yards per sport) and have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 21 straight video games, which is the longest lively streak within the AFC. However Chubb has totaled essentially the most dashing yards in opposition to Baltimore since 2020, gaining 303 yards. He produced 91 yards on the bottom in opposition to the Ravens in Week 7. The Browns are 20-8 when Chubb surpasses 100 yards dashing. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: A Browns loss would assure them a 14th shedding season prior to now 15 years.

What’s at stake: The Ravens are close to locks to make the playoffs, however in addition they come into Week 15 with a 67% probability to win the AFC North, per ESPN’s FPI. A win pushes that to 78%, however a loss drops it to 52%. The Browns not solely are headed towards lacking the playoffs, in addition they don’t have a first-round draft choose. See playoff image.

Accidents: Ravens | Browns

What to know for fantasy: J.Okay. Dobbins was RB10 final week and will get the Browns this week, the third-worst protection in opposition to operating backs this season. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Ravens have gained their two earlier video games as a street underdog this season (at Buccaneers on Oct. 27, at Steelers final week). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Ravens 28, Browns 20
Walder’s choose: Ravens 23, Browns 17
FPI prediction: BAL, 60.7% (by a mean of three.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How Dobbins carried the Ravens regardless of not being at full power … Owusu-Koramoah newest Browns LB misplaced to harm

play

0:41

Marcus Spears believes the Ravens offensive line and Tyler Huntley are the important thing components to victory for the Ravens in opposition to the Browns.


Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET | NFL Community | Unfold: BUF -7.5 (42)

What to observe for: When these groups met in Week 3, the temperature performed a job with a number of Payments gamers lacking time as a consequence of warmth sickness. However with a lake impact snow warning in place for the weekend, situations will once more be an element within the huge AFC East assembly. The Dolphins have misplaced eight straight video games with a kickoff temperature of 40 or under, however Miami is trying to sweep the sequence vs. Buffalo for the primary time since 2016. In contrast to final time, the Payments can have cornerback Tre’Davious White and security Jordan Poyer to assist defend Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. The Payments are 9-0 when Poyer performs. — Alaina Getzenberg

Daring prediction: Regardless of the climate, the Dolphins will win. Tua Tagovailoa has but to win — or play properly in — a sport the place temperatures are below 50 levels. That each one modifications Saturday because the Dolphins’ laissez-faire perspective towards the snow pays off as Tua throws two touchdowns in a vital division victory. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Stat to know: Payments quarterback Josh Allen is 7-2 in his profession vs. the Dolphins with at the least two passing touchdowns in all 9 profession video games in opposition to them; solely Tom Brady (22) has extra profession video games with two passing TDs in opposition to Miami.

What’s at stake: Buffalo can clinch the playoffs with a win. If the Payments tie the Dolphins, they will nonetheless clinch with a Chargers loss, losses from the Jets/Patriots or a Jets loss and ties from the Chargers/Patriots. Moreover, the Payments have a 44% probability on the AFC’s No. 1 seed, per ESPN’s FPI. That might improve to 53% with a win or fall to twenty% with a loss. The Dolphins enter Week 15 with a 70% probability to make the playoffs. In addition they nonetheless maintain a 6% probability of successful the AFC East, which may leap to 23% with a win. See playoff image.

Accidents: Dolphins | Payments

What to know for fantasy: Allen has scored over 19 fantasy factors in eight of 9 profession video games in opposition to the Dolphins (six video games over 25 factors). See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: Tagovailoa is 0-2 outright in his profession when an underdog of 7-plus factors (1-0-1 in opposition to the unfold); final time he was a 7-point underdog was final season at Buffalo (plus-15, Buffalo gained 26-11). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Payments 31, Dolphins 24
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 30, Payments 28
FPI prediction: BUF, 76.7% (by a mean of 8.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Tagovailoa, Dolphins have proper ‘mindset’ for Buffalo climate … Payments, WR Beasley on ‘similar web page’ with expectations … Tagovailoa, Dolphins’ offense in a rut as showdown with Payments looms … Rousseau leads Payments’ defenders rising in Von Miller’s absence

play

0:23

Keyshawn Johnson explains why he likes the Payments to tug out the win vs. the Dolphins.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: N/A (44.5)

What to observe for: Two groups considered a 12 months away discover themselves of their respective playoff races, seemingly entering into reverse instructions. The Jets have dropped 4 of their previous six, and are counting on banged-up QB Mike White (rib) to reignite their offense — which has solely two touchdowns prior to now two video games. The Lions are tied for second in scoring (32 factors per sport) since Week 10. The Jets are relying on their stingy protection to decelerate Goff & Co. — Wealthy Cimini

Daring prediction: Lions quarterback Jared Goff will end with at the least 232 passing yards to hit the 25,000-yard mark for his profession. He would tie Corridor of Famers Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning because the third-fastest gamers in NFL historical past to hit that mark in 97 video games. Goff has thrown for at the least 330 passing yards in back-to-back video games with zero interceptions, serving to the Lions win 5 of their previous six video games. — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: Goff is 1-9 in his profession, together with playoffs, in opposition to the AFC East. The one QB with a worse file in opposition to the AFC East since division realignment in 2002 is Jacoby Brissett (0-6)

What’s at stake: The Jets have a 25% probability to make the playoffs, which might go as much as 35% with a win or drop to 13% with a loss, per ESPN’s FPI. The Lions even have a small probability to make the postseason (13%). See playoff image.

Accidents: Lions | Jets

What to know for fantasy: Through the three weeks of the White expertise, Zonovan Knight is RB10. That is nice. Much less nice for him … the Lions are the most effective protection in opposition to opposing operating backs since Week 9. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Lions are 9-4 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) this season, tied with the Giants for the second-best cowl share within the NFL — solely the Bengals are higher (10-3 ATS). Detroit has lined six straight video games, the longest lively streak within the league and Detroit’s longest cowl streak since 2010-11 (seven straight). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Lions 24, Jets 22
Walder’s choose: Jets 26, Lions 24
FPI prediction: NYJ, 54.5% (by a mean of 1.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Six tales that designate Lions coach Dan Campbell … Jets’ Robert Saleh: Wilson to be No. 2 QB for Lions sport … Campbell says followers doing the wave influenced trick playcall … After years of expensive free agent busts, Jets reverse development with D.J. Reed … Hutchinson pays tribute to Detroit icon with ‘Blade Dance’


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: PHI -9 (48.5)

What to observe for: That is the primary beginning quarterback matchup because the begin of the 1950 season the place each QBs entered with at the least 600 dashing yards on the season, in response to ESPN Stats & Info. Jalen Hurts and Justin Fields are first and second, respectively, in dashing makes an attempt. However Fields has been the extra environment friendly rusher, racking up 905 yards on 128 makes an attempt (7.1 yards per rush) in comparison with Hurts’ 686 dashing yards on 139 rushes (4.8 yards per try). Coming off a bye, Chicago goals to snap a six-game shedding streak. — Courtney Cronin

Daring prediction: The Bears will give Philly a scare. The Eagles have accomplished a very good job of staying laser-focused, however the elements are there for a lure sport. The journey to Chicago is sandwiched between a pair of divisional street video games, with subsequent week’s matchup on the Cowboys lining as much as be a doozy. Chicago will not have sufficient firepower to tug off the upset, however it will not be a stroll within the park for the most effective crew in soccer. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: Hurts wants three landing passes to affix Cam Newton (2015) and Kyler Murray (2020) to turn into the third QB in NFL historical past with at the least 25 passing TDs and 10 dashing TDs in a single season.

What’s at stake: Philadelphia is the primary crew to lock up a playoff spot, however it will not have the ability to safe the NFC East simply but. It has an 89% probability to win it, per ESPN’s FPI — and people possibilities will both enhance to 92% with a win or slide to 69% with a loss. The Eagles even have an 87% probability to ultimately take house the No. 1 seed within the convention. The Bears, on the flip facet, are considered one of three groups already eradicated from the postseason. They’re additionally at present projected to land the No. 2 draft choose and nonetheless have a 9% probability to overhaul the Texans for the highest spot. See playoff image.

Accidents: Eagles | Bears

What to know for fantasy: Cole Kmet remains to be obtainable in loads of leagues after his Week 13 bye, so remember that Darnell Mooney is out for the 12 months and that Kmet has racked up over 13 fantasy factors in three of his previous 5. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Bears are 4-8-1 ATS this season (.333 cowl %), tied with the Rams for the second-worst cowl share in NFL, with solely the Bucs (3-9-1, .250 cowl %) being worse. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Eagles 34, Bears 26
Walder’s choose: Eagles 27, Bears 23
FPI prediction: PHI, 84.2% (by a mean of 11.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Mailata responds to Micah Parsons’ criticism of Hurts … Eagles co-host vacation occasion for Philly children


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CAR -3 (37.5)

What to observe for: It is cliché, however this shall be a type of old style video games determined within the trenches. The Panthers wish to run and take the stress off quarterback Sam Darnold to make performs. They’re averaging 154.6 yards dashing over the previous seven video games and face a Steelers protection that gave up 215 rush yards final week in opposition to Baltimore. This additionally shall be like a playoff sport for Carolina, which might win the NFC South by successful its remaining 4 video games. Pittsburgh is an extended shot at greatest to make the AFC playoffs, and there is uncertainty at quarterback with rookie Kenny Pickett, who was positioned in concussion protocol on Sunday. — David Newton

Daring prediction: Mason Rudolph will throw a landing move to Diontae Johnson. It is a flaming sizzling take as a result of for this to even occur, Rudolph, who hasn’t been lively all season, must get his first sport motion. It isn’t inconceivable, although. Rookie Kenny Pickett is in concussion protocol for the second time in eight weeks, and Rudolph has been splitting first-team observe reps with Mitch Trubisky. Thursday, Johnson mentioned he thought Rudolph would get the beginning and that it was his week. Johnson hasn’t caught a landing move this season, however his perception in Rudolph may repay Sunday in an enormous means. — Brooke Pryor

Stat to know: A loss ensures the Steelers’ first shedding season since 2003, which might snap a streak of 18 consecutive seasons with out a shedding file — the third-longest streak in NFL historical past after the Cowboys (21 straight in 1965-85) and Patriots (19 straight in 2001-19).

What’s at stake: Carolina is one way or the other nonetheless very a lot alive within the playoff hunt, at present proudly owning a 23% probability to make the postseason and win the NFC South, per ESPN’s FPI. It additionally has a 58% probability to land a top-10 choose, although. Pittsburgh won’t have the identical playoff possibilities (lower than 1%), however it additionally has solely a 48% probability to assert a choose within the high 10 in April. See playoff image.

Accidents: Steelers | Panthers

What to know for fantasy: After scoring as soon as on the bottom within the first 10 weeks this season, Najee Harris has reached pay grime 4 instances in his previous 4 video games (landing or 17-plus carries in all 5 video games because the Week 9 bye). See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Panthers have lined the previous 4 weeks after beginning the season 3-6 in opposition to the unfold. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Steelers 20, Panthers 17
Walder’s choose: Panthers 16, Steelers 13
FPI prediction: CAR, 52.7% (by a mean of 0.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Will Steelers flip to Rudolph? Longtime backup says he is prepared … Underneath interim coach Wilks, Panthers now maintain playoff future of their arms


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: KC -14 (49.5)

What to observe for: Coming into this matchup, the Texans’ protection has held opposing QBs to below an 80.0 passer score seven instances this 12 months, which ranks tied for second within the NFL. And the Texans nearly pulled off an upset final week in opposition to the Cowboys. However Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has the best QBR within the NFL (77.9) and the fourth-highest passer score within the NFL (103). — DJ Bien-Aime

Daring prediction: Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco will set a profession excessive in dashing yards and have his first multi-touchdown sport. Pacheco had his most efficient sport of the season in Week 11 in opposition to the Chargers, when he ran for 107 yards. The Texans are final within the league in dashing yards allowed and quit a beneficiant common of virtually 5 yards per carry. — Adam Teicher

Stat to know: With a win on Sunday, the Chiefs will clinch their seventh consecutive division title, tying the second-longest streak in NFL historical past. The Chiefs’ present run of six straight division titles can also be the longest lively streak within the NFL, NBA, MLB or NHL, in response to the Elias Sports activities Bureau.

What’s at stake: The Chiefs can take house the AFC West this weekend with a win, a Chargers loss or ties by each the Chiefs and Chargers. But when none of that comes collectively, they will at the least clinch the playoffs with a tie and both losses by the Jets and Patriots, or a loss by the Dolphins after which one of many Jets and Patriots shedding and the opposite one tying. Kansas Metropolis additionally has a 44% probability to complete the season atop the AFC, per ESPN’s FPI. The Texans are eradicated from the postseason and are within the driver’s seat for the highest choose within the draft, at present holding an 84% probability to earn it. See playoff image.

Accidents: Chiefs | Texans

What to know for fantasy: Pacheco has reached double-digit fantasy factors in 4 straight video games and has even added a number of catches in consecutive video games (one such sport this season prior). See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Texans are 5-4 ATS when the over/below is over 43 factors (0-3-1 in any other case). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chiefs 41, Texans 14
Walder’s choose: Chiefs 34, Texans 20
FPI prediction: KC, 85.3% (by a mean of 12.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: All he is apprehensive about is successful’: Kelce says newest milestone simply a part of one other Chiefs win … Sources: Texans’ Pierce (ankle) may miss as much as 3 weeks … 2022 NFL MVP watch: Rating the highest 5 candidates by means of Week 14 … How the Texans’ two-QB system nearly helped them pull off the upset of the 12 months … Texans signal QB Driskel to lively roster


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DAL -4 (47.5)

What to observe for: If there’s one stat that may resolve this sport, it is this: The Cowboys are second within the NFL by way of getting sacks (48), whereas the Jaguars have solely 23, which is the fourth fewest within the league. The important thing matchup shall be Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons, who’s tied for third within the NFL with 12 sacks, versus Jaguars tackles Jawaan Taylor and Cam Robinson. Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence mentioned this week he has to know the place Parsons is at each second due to his capability to wreck the sport. If the Jaguars can restrict the injury Parsons causes, their probability at an upset will increase. — Mike DiRocco

Daring prediction: Trevon Diggs will intercept Lawrence. Diggs has gone six video games with out an interception, his longest streak because the first seven video games of his profession. Final 12 months, on his solution to 11 interceptions, he by no means went greater than two video games with out a choose. This does not imply he’s enjoying poorly. It does imply he has not been examined as a lot. Since Week 9, Lawrence has not had a move picked off and has 10 landing passes, tied for the most effective ratio within the league. — Todd Archer

Stat to know: The Jaguars have 20 consecutive losses to NFC groups, the longest interconference shedding streak because the 1970 merger and tied for the longest shedding streak vs. a single convention in that point (Lions misplaced 20 straight vs NFC from 2007 to ’09). The Jags’ final win vs. the NFC got here within the 2018 opener in opposition to the Giants.

What’s at stake: The Cowboys have a number of clinching situations for this weekend, the best of which is a win or tie. Others embrace: (1) a Dallas tie and no tie within the NYG-WSH sport, (2) a Detroit loss or tie, (3) a Washington loss. ESPN’s FPI additionally nonetheless has Dallas with a 13% probability to win the NFC East. After which there may be Jacksonville, which has a 19% probability to make the playoffs. That might leap to 34% with a win or fall to 13% with a loss. See playoff image.

Accidents: Cowboys | Jaguars

What to know for fantasy: Since Week 8, no flex participant averages extra fantasy factors than Tony Pollard. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Cowboys have seen 5 of their previous six video games go over the entire. The odd half? The lone exception was once they hung 40 factors on the Vikings. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Cowboys 31, Jaguars 23
Walder’s choose: Jaguars 28, Cowboys 27
FPI prediction: DAL, 72.5% (by a mean of seven.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Stars like Parsons lead Cowboys’ protection, however remember the opposite ‘hims’ … Jags’ Lawrence says unhealthy London sport ‘flipped a change’ … Cowboys’ Jerry Jones says to ‘stand by’ on Beckham Jr. resolution … Lawrence had profession day vs. Titans … Cowboys add veteran T.Y. Hilton to large receiver corps

play

1:24

Chris Canty highlights how the Cowboys’ offense ought to lean extra on the operating sport and fewer on Dak Prescott.


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NO -4 (43)

What to observe for: Tight finish Taysom Hill was the important thing in beating the Falcons in Week 1 and could possibly be once more if the Saints can get him going. The Saints are 4-0 in video games the place Hill has at the least 50 dashing yards and 0-8 in all different video games (he was inactive in Week 2). They’re going to actually attempt to make the most of him and operating again Alvin Kamara in opposition to the Falcons’ Twenty fifth-ranked dashing protection. The Saints may additionally get some assistance on each side of the ball, with heart Erik McCoy and linebacker Pete Werner again at observe. — Katherine Terrell

Daring prediction: Falcons rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder will throw for 225 yards and two touchdowns, successful his first begin for the franchise. The Falcons have needed to have a extra balanced offense — and in a league the place that often means skewing towards passing so including the run, for Atlanta, it has been the alternative because the Falcons have been a run-based crew. The change from Marcus Mariota to Ridder provides the Falcons extra flexibility, and he connects usually with Drake London for the rookie receiver’s first 100-yard day. — Michael Rothstein

Stat to know: The Saints wish to keep away from their first season with double-digit losses since 2005, once they completed 3-13 (the 12 months earlier than Sean Payton and Drew Brees joined the crew).

What’s at stake: Each groups are alive within the NFC South, however not by a lot. Atlanta has a 4% probability, per ESPN’s FPI, whereas the Saints are at 1%. The Saints additionally lack a first-round draft choose, whereas the Falcons are projected to select No. 8. See playoff image.

Accidents: Falcons | Saints

What to know for fantasy: Chris Olave has reached double figures in 10 of 11 video games since debuting in opposition to these Falcons and profiles as a robust DFS play this weekend. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Falcons lined the unfold in every of their first six video games however are 1-6 (.143) in opposition to the unfold since Week 7 (worst cowl % in league over that span) . Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Falcons 24, Saints 21
Walder’s choose: Falcons 20, Saints 16
FPI prediction: NO, 65.4% (by a mean of 4.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Why the Falcons have turned to rookie QB Ridder … Saints set to have first shedding season since 2016; so, what went incorrect? … Saints DE Jordan: NFL questioning my integrity with tremendous


4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NE -1 (44.5)

What to observe for: Sure, Invoice Belichick is 7-1 as a head coach in opposition to the Raiders. However Josh McDaniels is 1-0 in opposition to his outdated mentor. Granted, it occurred means again in 2009. Nonetheless, the matchup between former pupil and outdated trainer is a story as outdated as time, so throw away how the Raiders’ offense dominated the Patriots’ protection in these joint practices in coaching camp. This counts now, and if the Jedi beats his younger Padawan, that may primarily dim the neon lights on Las Vegas’ playoff push, too. — Paul Gutierrez

Daring prediction: Raiders RB Josh Jacobs, the NFL’s main rusher, shall be held to fewer than 100 yards as Belichick will commit additional defensive assets to slowing him down. The problem for the Patriots, nonetheless, shall be that it leaves them weak in different areas — similar to in opposition to WR Davante Adams. Thus, the sport may come down as to if QB Derek Carr can ship with the sport in his arms. — Mike Reiss

Stat to know: The Patriots have gained their previous six video games in opposition to Raiders (5 wins by double digits throughout streak), tied for his or her second-longest lively win streak in opposition to a single opponent (gained 14 straight in opposition to Jets). The final Raiders win within the sequence got here in 2002, which was their first assembly following the Tuck Rule sport.

What’s at stake: The Patriots enter the week with a 29% probability of creating the playoffs, per ESPN’s FPI. Win, and that goes to 45%. Lose, and it is 19%. The Raiders aren’t wanting as promising with a 3% probability, and even a win right here solely pushes that to five%. Las Vegas is at present projected to select at No. 9 within the draft, whereas New England is No. 16. See playoff image.

Accidents: Patriots | Raiders

What to know for fantasy: Jacobs has scored at the least 19 fantasy factors in 5 straight video games and has a declare to be thought of the highest operating again the remainder of the way in which. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: Overs are 3-1-1 when the Raiders play in Vegas, however simply 3-5 on the street. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Patriots 27, Raiders 24
Walder’s choose: Raiders 26, Patriots 19
FPI prediction: LV, 62.2% (by a mean of three.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Patriots’ rookie RBs Harris and Sturdy Jr. stepped up when wanted Monday … What did Raiders coach McDaniels study in second stint with Belichick? … Supply: Dealing with of WR Parker’s harm to be reviewed … Raiders’ Jacobs has shaped bond with Corridor of Famer Allen


4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DEN -2.5 (36)

What to observe for: The Broncos have misplaced eight video games this season by seven or fewer factors and have simply three video games during which they’ve scored greater than 16 factors. Russell Wilson and the Broncos had a very good effort in opposition to the Chiefs final week and can look to construct on that. Then again, the Cardinals have misplaced three straight video games and 5 of their previous six — the crew’s worst six-game stretch inside a season since shedding six straight video games in 2019. — Jeff Legwold

Daring prediction: Colt McCoy will get sacked simply as soon as and can throw for 275 yards and two touchdowns after spending per week getting all of the first-team reps rather than Kyler Murray, who’s out for the season with an ACL harm. McCoy has turn into adept at throwing shortly behind Arizona’s patchwork offensive line, and this week shall be no completely different. He’ll get the ball out shortly and effectively, however there will not be a variety of deep balls — as a result of he will not have time. — Josh Weinfuss

Stat to know: McCoy has accomplished 71.9% of his passes in 11 appearances with Cardinals, his highest share with any crew he has performed for.

What’s at stake: Arizona may be part of Denver as eradicated groups this week by means of a number of situations. ESPN’s FPI at present has the Cardinals with a top-five choose within the draft. However the Broncos traded away their very own first-rounder to land Wilson, and their acquired choose within the Bradley Chubb deal is wanting like it will likely be outdoors the highest 20. See playoff image.

Accidents: Cardinals | Broncos

What to know for fantasy: James Conner’s high three video games have are available his previous 4 video games performed, and this Arizona offense might want to lean closely on him with Murray sidelined. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Broncos have lined consecutive video games for the primary time since Weeks 8-9 of final season. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Cardinals 23, Broncos 21
Walder’s choose: Cardinals 19, Broncos 9
FPI prediction: DEN, 71.1% (by a mean of 6.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cardinals GM Steve Keim taking health-related go away of absence … Russell Wilson practices however stays in concussion protocol … What does Murray’s ACL tear imply for the Cardinals’ future?

play

1:15

Ryan Clark voices his issues about Kliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals’ futures after Kyler Murray’s season-ending ACL harm.


4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CIN -3.5 (44)

What to observe for: The Bengals are vying for double-digit wins to seize sole possession of first place within the AFC North, whereas the Bucs are merely attempting to get again to .500 and preserve first place in an terrible NFC South. Neither crew can afford to lose, however the Bengals look rather a lot higher coming in with a five-game successful streak. — Jenna Laine

Daring prediction: Cincinnati wins by three touchdowns. Cincinnati is in the most effective type of coach Zac Taylor’s four-year tenure. A win over a floundering Bucs crew will give Cincinnati a sweep in opposition to the NFC South this season. — Ben Child

Stat to know: Joe Burrow and Tom Brady have been two of the league’s greatest quarterbacks within the fourth quarter. They’re tied for essentially the most fourth-quarter landing passes with 9 every, and each are ranked within the high 10 in QBR.

What’s at stake: A win for the Buccaneers would improve their playoff possibilities from 72% to 85%, per ESPN’s FPI (66% with a loss). The Bengals have a 98% probability to make the postseason, together with a 32% probability to beat out Baltimore for the AFC North. See playoff image.

Accidents: Bengals | Buccaneers

What to know for fantasy: Mid-October. That was the final time that Leonard Fournette scored 15 fantasy factors in a sport. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Bengals have lined 5 straight, and it is value noting they lined their remaining 4 video games final season previous to their run to the Tremendous Bowl. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bengals 24, Buccaneers 19
Walder’s choose: Bengals 37, Buccaneers 13
FPI prediction: CIN, 66.7% (by a mean of 5.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bengals say DE Hendrickson (wrist) will keep away from IR … Inconsistent Bucs look inward with future hopes in stability … Backups Irwin, Taylor filling the gaps at WR … Buccaneers’ Brady a ‘good sport,’ indicators INT ball for 49ers LB … Burrow lauds Brady, resists comparisons to Bucs QB


4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: LAC -3 (47.5)

What to observe for: Each the Titans and Chargers characteristic dynamic operating backs in Derrick Henry and Austin Ekeler, and each may have a monstrous sport Sunday. The Titans’ protection is tied for first in dashing touchdowns allowed this season, and Ekeler, who ranks second within the NFL with 13 touchdowns, has been particularly efficient within the purple zone. Henry ranks second within the NFL with 1,199 dashing yards, averaging 4.36 yards per carry, which suggests a tall process for a Bolts protection that is among the many league’s worst at defending the run, permitting a mean of 5.4 yards per carry. — Lindsey Thiry

Daring prediction: The Titans will generate three turnovers in opposition to a Chargers crew averaging one turnover per sport this season. The Titans’ protection hasn’t compelled a turnover since Terrance Mitchell picked off Russell Wilson in a Week 10 win over the Broncos. Defensive coordinator Shane Bowen challenged his defensive backs to “maximize opportunities” to make performs on the ball, which hasn’t occurred prior to now couple of video games. — Turron Davenport

Stat to know: Henry is 4 yards shy of 8,000 profession dashing yards. He would be part of Ezekiel Elliott and Mark Ingram as the one lively operating backs with 8,000 profession dashing yards; solely Eddie George (10,009) and Earl Campbell (8,574) have extra dashing yards in Titans historical past.

What’s at stake: Per ESPN’s FPI, the Chargers enter Week 15 with a 74% probability to make the playoffs — and it may climb to 88% with a win or plummet to 52% with a loss. The Titans have an 81% probability, which jumps to 92% with a win or drops to 74% with a loss. See playoff image.

Accidents: Titans | Chargers

What to know for fantasy: Keenan Allen has had 90 yards or a landing in all 4 video games since coming back from harm. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: Chargers video games have gone over the entire solely as soon as of their previous six video games, as overs are 1-4-1. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Titans 26, Chargers 23
Walder’s choose: Chargers 30, Titans 17
FPI prediction: LAC, 62.7% (by a mean of three.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Titans attempting to proper ship amid three-game shedding streak … Ekeler’s Professional Bowl advert is parody perfection … Staley optimistic that Slater, Bosa will come off IR

play

2:17

Area Yates and Mike Clay talk about whether or not Derrick Henry or the Chargers large receivers will fare higher in fantasy of their matchup.


8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: WSH -4.5 (40.5)

What to observe for: The winner of this sport shall be in a wonderful place to make the playoffs as a wild card. Whichever crew wins, they’re going to be 8-5-1 and maintain the sixth playoff spot within the NFC. New York quarterback Daniel Jones shall be key. Since Ron Rivera arrived in Washington for the 2020 season, Jones has a 56.9 passer score vs. the Commanders (and 52.9 total) and likewise 244 dashing yards. Three of his high six dashing video games prior to now three seasons have come vs. Washington. Additionally, for these apprehensive a couple of second tie, you need to know this: New York has by no means tied the identical crew twice in a season, and Washington final did it in 1938 (in opposition to the Brooklyn Dodgers). — John Keim

Daring prediction: Saquon Barkley runs for 150-plus yards. You would possibly say this is not a daring prediction till you have a look at Barkley’s previous 4 video games (152 dashing yards mixed). However his most efficient efficiency throughout that stretch was in opposition to Washington — 63 yards — in that tie that left a “sour taste” in his mouth. Further motivation. Barkley additionally averages 6.1 yards per rush in opposition to the Commanders in his profession, second greatest vs. a single opponent. All of it units up for Barkley to have an enormous night. — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: The Commanders have gained the time-of-possession battle in seven straight video games, tied with the Ravens for the longest streak within the NFL this season. Washington’s plus-6:03 TOP margin this season is greatest within the league.

What’s at stake: Based on ESPN’s FPI, the Giants have a 53% probability to make the playoffs, whereas the Commanders are at 70%. However get this: Whoever wins Sunday’s sport would then have an 89-90% probability of creating the playoffs. The loser could be within the 33-36% vary. It may be a vital matchup within the NFC playoff hunt. See playoff image.

Accidents: Giants | Commanders

What to know for fantasy: The following time the Giants maintain McLaurin below 13 fantasy factors would be the first (24.5 fantasy factors within the Week 13 tie). See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: Seven of the primary Giants video games this season went below, however they’ve gone over in three of the previous 4. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Commanders 27, Giants 20
Walder’s choose: Giants 19, Commanders 16
FPI prediction: WSH, 63.4% (by a mean of three.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Barkley ‘good’ after enjoying by means of harm in loss … Commanders WR trio may maintain key to playoff berth … Washington prompts Wentz to again up Heinicke … GOP’s Commanders memo attracts legal professional’s ire


Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC/ESPN+ | Unfold: GB -7 (39.5)

What to observe for: The Packers’ protection has allowed 4 straight opponents to high 400 yards in a sport. They’re at risk of permitting that to occur for a fifth straight sport for the primary time since 1983. In that very same stretch, the Rams’ offense ranks thirtieth within the league in yards per sport. So what wins out: Dangerous protection or unhealthy offense? — Rob Demovsky

Daring prediction: The Rams will lose to the Packers, matching essentially the most losses by a defending Tremendous Bowl champion. The 1999 Broncos went 6-10. That might be the Rams’ fifth straight loss on the street, one thing the crew hasn’t accomplished since 2011-12, in response to ESPN Stats & Info analysis. — Sarah Barshop

Stat to know: Aaron Rodgers has gained eight consecutive begins on “Monday Night Football,” which is the fifth-longest win streak by a QB. Rodgers has 22 landing passes and two interceptions in these eight video games.

What’s at stake: Each thought of Tremendous Bowl hopefuls within the preseason, the Packers and Rams each seem like outdoors wanting in on the playoffs. Inexperienced Bay has an 8% probability of creating the postseason, per ESPN’s FPI (as much as 10% with a win). And the Rams are on the cusp of elimination. Los Angeles doesn’t have a first-round choose, and the Packers are projected to select at No. 14. See playoff image.

Accidents: Rams | Packers

What to know for fantasy: Cam Akers has extra fantasy factors over the previous two weeks than Henry, Barkley and Dalvin Cook dinner. See Week 15 rankings.

Betting nugget: Baker Mayfield has been part of as many Rams covers because the starting of October as Matthew Stafford. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Packers 26, Rams 20
Walder’s choose: Packers 23, Rams 16
FPI prediction: GB, 77.8% (by a mean of 8.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Ought to the Rams remorse their huge trades? … Rodgers’ record-tying reference to Packers rookie Watson … Ramsey on laborious season: ‘I am my hardest critic’