NFL Week 11 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, stats, fantasy suggestions

The Week 11 NFL schedule for the 2022 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we obtained you lined with what you should know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the most important keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Info supplies a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a matchup ranking (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a sport projection. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe arms out useful fantasy soccer intel, as effectively. Lastly, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us ultimate rating picks for each sport. All the pieces you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the total Week 11 slate, together with a giant AFC East matchup between the New York Jets visiting the New England Patriots and the 8-1 Minnesota Vikings internet hosting the Dallas Cowboys. All of it culminates with a Monday Night time Soccer matchup between the 49ers and the Cardinals on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday except in any other case famous.)

Bounce to a matchup:

Thursday: TEN 27, GB 17

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: NE -3 (38.5)

What to observe for: Jets QB Zach Wilson threw three interceptions in a 22-17 loss to New England on Oct. 30, and was already speaking a few rematch with the Patriots within the instant aftermath of that sport. Jets head coach Robert Saleh mentioned of Wilson: “From a narrative standpoint, to try to attack a young man for 4-5 plays, when they are 4-5 teachable moments in my mind, I think we’re missing the big picture on that.” In the meantime, Patriots QB Mac Jones was sacked six instances that day, his first full sport getting back from a excessive ankle sprain. He mentioned he did a “full audit” of his first half of the season throughout this previous bye week, and offensive playcaller Matt Patricia mentioned: “I think he matures every single week with the way that he sees the game, plays the game and understands from a team standpoint how we need to play a particular game each week.” — Mike Reiss

Daring prediction: Neither workforce will crack 20 factors. This shall be an old school, rock ’em-sock ’em defensive wrestle between two of the highest defenses. They’re tied for second in factors allowed per sport (15.8) since Week 4. The final time the 2 rivals performed a sport during which neither workforce reached 20 factors was 2014 — a 17-16 win for the Patriots. — Wealthy Cimini

Stat to know: The Patriots are 1-3 coming off a bye with anybody however Tom Brady at QB beneath Invoice Belichick, together with 0-2 the previous two seasons (Brady was 14-4). They have not misplaced to an AFC East opponent after a bye since 2000

Accidents: Jets | Patriots

What to know for fantasy: Previous to the Week 10 bye, Garrett Wilson was coming into his personal. The rookie was a top-15 receiver in each Week 8 and Week 9 — can he preserve the nice instances rolling towards the Pats? See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Jets have received towards the unfold, in addition to outright, in 5 of their previous six video games. The one sport the Jets did not cowl or win outright was towards the Patriots in Week 8 (+3, misplaced by 5). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Jets 24, Patriots 21
Walder’s choose: Jets 19, Patriots 16
FPI prediction: NE, 50.4% (by a mean of 0.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Oral historical past of the wild OT coin toss the final time the Jets beat Patriots … Belichick desires coach’s challenges allowed with beneath 2 minutes … Why Patriots, Payments, Jets and Dolphins may win — or lose — the AFC East

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: PHI -7 (44)

What to observe for: The Eagles are recent off their first lack of the season. However they are going to have some notable institutional information that might definitely assist them on this sport. Coach Nick Sirianni was the Colts’ offensive coordinator for 3 seasons earlier than taking on in Philadelphia, serving to lately fired Colts coach Frank Reich construct the very system the Eagles will defend on Sunday. And defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon was a Colts secondary coach earlier than becoming a member of Sirianni’s workers, giving him intensive expertise defending the Colts’ scheme in practices. — Stephen Holder

Daring prediction: Jonathan Taylor shall be held beneath 100 yards dashing. The Eagles have allowed 320 yards and two touchdowns on the bottom the previous two weeks towards the Texans and Commanders. It has the workforce’s consideration. The entrance workplace signed defensive tackles Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh this week, and stopping the run has been a focus of the coaches coming off Monday’s loss to the Commanders. Anticipate them to load up the field extra towards Indy. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: The Eagles are the twenty ninth workforce to begin 8-0 or higher within the Tremendous Bowl period; 11 of the earlier 28 (39%) and 4 of the previous eight misplaced consecutive video games instantly following the undefeated begin, the latest being the 2020 Steelers.

Accidents: Eagles | Colts

What to know for fantasy: Taylor garnered 85.7% of Colts RB touches final week and rewarded his affected person fantasy managers. That was his second-highest charge of the season, and with a brand new head coach on the command in Jeff Saturday, Taylor as soon as once more feels just like the asset you spent the primary general choose on three months in the past. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Colts have not been an underdog of 6-plus factors at residence since 2017 towards the Steelers, which they lined. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Eagles 27, Colts 17
Walder’s choose: Eagles 34, Colts 10
FPI prediction: PHI, 68.5% (by a mean of 5.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: MVP Watch: Hurts is in shut competition … Inside Jeff Saturday’s first week as Colts coach … Eagles add DT Joseph to assist run protection, TE Goedert lands on IR … Colts LB Leonard has 2nd again surgical procedure in 5 months

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NYG -3 (45)

What to observe for: This sport shall be a distinct type of check for the Giants’ protection. The Lions shall be their first matchup with any workforce presently ranked within the prime 10 in passing offense this season. Detroit has the NFL’s eighth-ranked passing assault, with 241.4 yards per sport. The very best passing assault the Giants have confronted this season has been the Seahawks, who’re presently ranked thirteenth. The Giants have given up greater than 23 factors solely as soon as — to Seattle — whereas the Lions are averaging 24.3 factors per sport. — Jordan Raanan

Daring prediction: Lions rookie defensive finish Aidan Hutchinson will register a sack for the third straight highway sport. Though Detroit’s workforce protection nonetheless wants a variety of work, the 2022 No. 2 general choose says he is rising extra snug because the season progresses as a result of he is being positioned by the teaching workers to succeed. Hutchinson leads all rookies in sacks with 5.5 and final recorded a sack at Chicago on Nov. 13 and 1.5 sacks in Dallas on Oct. 23. — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: The Giants’ seven one-score wins are tied for essentially the most in a workforce’s first 9 video games in NFL historical past (1987 Chargers, 2006 Colts and 2022 Vikings). No workforce in NFL historical past has received eight one-score video games inside its first 10 video games of a season.

Accidents: Lions | Giants

What to know for fantasy: Amon-Ra St. Brown bounced again with an enormous Week 10 in Chicago (121 yards and 22.1 fantasy factors), however issues get powerful this week towards a Giants workforce that hasn’t allowed a receiver to crack 17.5 fantasy factors since Week 3. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Six of the Lions’ 9 video games this season have hit the over (66.7%), tied for second-highest charge within the league this season. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Giants 28, Lions 23
Walder’s choose: Lions 23, Giants 20
FPI prediction: NYG, 67.3% (by a mean of 4.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Lions ended listing of ‘brutal’ streaks with win vs. Bears … Week 11 buzz: Saquon market, upsets and extra … New place key to Giants DT Lawrence’s sudden rise



Mike Clay thinks Daniel Jones could be a worthwhile QB fantasy choose in Week 11.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BUF -8 (42)

What to observe for: With a winter storm headed to western New York, the sport has been moved indoors to Ford Area in Detroit, and the weather have been thrown out of the image. However a giant check nonetheless awaits a Payments protection that has proven a current weak point towards the run. Browns operating again Nick Chubb leads the league with 11 dashing touchdowns and is third in dashing yards (904). The Payments’ protection has allowed 145-plus dashing yards in every of the previous three video games. — Alaina Getzenberg

Daring prediction: QB Josh Allen, who has struggled with turnovers all 12 months, particularly in final weekend’s wild loss to Minnesota, will not throw a choose towards Cleveland’s beleaguered protection. The Browns have intercepted solely three passes this season. — Jake Trotter

Stat to know: Allen has thrown a number of interceptions in three straight video games, the longest streak of his profession. With two interceptions on Sunday, he could be the fourth Payments QB to throw a number of INT in 4 straight video games, the primary since 1985.

Accidents: Browns | Payments

What to know for fantasy: Gabe Davis discovered the tip zone final week towards the Vikings, and he may present good worth once more this week towards a Browns protection that permits the fourth-highest completion share on deep passes (58.2%, league common: 45.6%). See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Browns coach Kevin Stefanski is 7-1 ATS as an underdog of a minimum of 3.5 factors. His largest profession underdog function is 8 factors within the 2020 AFC divisional playoffs at Kansas Metropolis, which he lined. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Payments 26, Browns 21
Walder’s choose: Payments 30, Browns 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 80.5% (by a mean of 10.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Watson practices as Browns prep Brissett for Payments … Why Patriots, Payments, Jets and Dolphins may win — or lose — the AFC East

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: NO -3 (39)

What to observe for: The Saints mentioned they’re sticking with QB Andy Dalton regardless of the workforce’s offensive struggles the previous two weeks, however do not anticipate the offensive output to all of a sudden reverse course. Whereas the workforce did get broad receiver Jarvis Landry again final week, it will probably be lacking three offensive linemen for the second straight sport. Left guard Andrus Peat missed final week with a triceps damage, middle Erik McCoy is on injured reserve and left deal with James Hurst is in concussion protocol, making the Saints probably short-handed towards Rams defensive deal with Aaron Donald. — Katherine Terrell

Daring prediction: The Rams will power a takeaway for the primary time since Week 6. Not solely have the Rams not taken the ball away in three video games, however the protection has only one takeaway in its previous seven video games mixed. — Sarah Barshop

Stat to know: With 19 turnovers, the Saints lead the NFL this season and have their most via 10 video games since 2014 (additionally 19). On the flip aspect, the Rams have did not document a takeaway in three straight video games and have one takeaway of their previous seven video games mixed.

Accidents: Rams | Saints

What to know for fantasy: Alvin Kamara has allow you to down in consecutive weeks (not a top-20 operating again in both), and the sledding does not get simpler this week towards a Rams protection that has allowed only one operating again not named Christian McCaffrey to clear 15 fantasy factors in a sport this season (that mentioned, it was James Conner final week). See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: That is the third dome sport previously three seasons to function a complete within the 30s. The earlier two went beneath. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Rams 22, Saints 17
Walder’s choose: Rams 20, Saints 9
FPI prediction: NO, 53.6% (by a mean of 1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Stafford anticipated to begin vs. Saints … Saints stick to QB Dalton after mulling change … Kupp undergoes ankle surgical procedure



Adam Schefter expects to see Matthew Stafford begin for the Rams in Week 11 and is to see who he targets with out Cooper Kupp.

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: ATL -3 (49)

What to observe for: Anticipate a variety of operating because the Bears and Falcons have two of one of the best dashing assaults within the league — Chicago is No. 1 (201.7 yards per sport) and Atlanta is No. 4 (160.4 yards per sport) — mixed with two defenses that permit a variety of dashing yards (Atlanta 119.4, Chicago 142) and wrestle to get off the sector on third down (Atlanta permitting 46.6% third down conversions, Chicago 50%). So there may very well be a variety of on-the-ground offense at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. — Michael Rothstein

Daring prediction: Chase Claypool will prime 80 receiving yards and a landing in Atlanta. There is not any higher time for the brand new Bears broad receiver to emerge as a playmaker than towards the Falcons’ league-worst move protection (280.1 yards allowed per sport). Claypool has been focused eight instances since he arrived in Week 9 and totaled three catches for 21 yards. Offensive coordinator Luke Getsy intimated that Claypool is near being in control with Chicago’s advanced route tree, so this sport is the place the Bears get a breakout efficiency from the speedy vertical menace they traded for on the deadline. — Courtney Cronin

Stat to know: The Bears are the primary workforce in NFL historical past to lose three straight video games whereas scoring greater than 29 factors in every sport. No workforce has misplaced 4 straight whereas scoring 28-plus factors in every sport.

Accidents: Bears | Falcons

What to know for fantasy: The superlatives for Justin Fields are overwhelming. Over the previous 4 weeks, he has 38.9 extra fantasy factors than every other participant (that is the identical distinction between the second-best participant in fantasy and the 54th greatest over that stretch). Or how about the truth that over these 4 weeks, he has outscored the three main items of Atlanta’s move sport (Marcus Mariota, Kyle Pitts and Drake London) by himself. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in its previous 4 video games after beginning the season 6-0 ATS. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bears 26, Falcons 21
Walder’s choose: Bears 23, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: ATL, 68.1% (by a mean of 5.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: With 5 TDs in previous 3 video games, Bears TE Kmet rising as crimson zone menace … 4 points the Falcons should repair over the ultimate eight video games … Bears second-leading rusher Herbert (hip) goes on IR

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: BAL -13 (41)

What to observe for: The Ravens’ sturdy run protection appears to decelerate D’Onta Foreman. Since changing into Carolina’s prime operating again, Foreman has gained over 100 yards dashing in three of his previous 4 video games. Baltimore, although, hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 18 straight video games (not since Dalvin Cook dinner in Week 9 of 2021). The Ravens have allowed one 100-yard rusher previously two seasons, which ranks because the fewest within the NFL. Baltimore’s protection has gotten much more stout with the acquisition of center linebacker Roquan Smith. — Jamison Hensley

Daring prediction: Foreman can have a minimum of 118 yards dashing for the third time in 4 video games towards a Ravens protection ranked third within the NFL, averaging 92 yards per sport. He’ll additionally rating three dashing touchdowns towards a protection that has allowed solely 9 to maintain this sport nearer than many anticipate. — David Newton

Stat to know: The Ravens have gained 150-plus dashing yards in eight straight video games, the longest single-season streak by any workforce previously 35 seasons. Solely 4 groups within the Tremendous Bowl period have longer streaks (the 1972 and ’73 Dolphins, 1975 Steelers and 1985 Bears). All received the Tremendous Bowl.

Accidents: Panthers | Ravens

What to know for fantasy: Foreman has run for over 115 yards in every of the previous three video games during which he has seen a minimum of 10 carries. After a 31-carry effort on Thursday night time and given the need on this sport to maintain Lamar Jackson on the sidelines, double-digit carries really feel like a secure wager this week. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: The Panthers are 1-15 of their previous 16 video games because the double-digit underdog however received the latest one in Week 7 towards the Buccaneers. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Ravens 31, Panthers 20
Walder’s choose: Ravens 34, Panthers 13
FPI prediction: BAL, 85.5% (by a mean of 12.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Panthers gamers shopping for into interim coach Wilks … With best remaining schedule, can Jackson and Ravens win out? … Panthers’ Mayfield stuns workforce with helmetless head-butts … Ravens’ Andrews conjures up kids who’ve diabetes … Panthers’ Mayfield targeted on successful, not his future

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: WSH -3 (41)

What to observe for: Coach Ron Rivera determined to roll with quarterback Taylor Heinicke over Carson Wentz because the Commanders have received 4 out of their previous 5 video games. Neither is taking part in drastically higher than the opposite, as Heinicke has a passer ranking of 82 and Wentz’s ranking is 84. The Texans’ move protection holds quarterbacks to a ranking of 87, the ninth lowest within the NFL. So anticipate the Commanders to run the ball, because the Texans have allowed 1,636 yards on the bottom, most within the NFL. — DJ Bien-Aime

Daring prediction: Brian Robinson will surpass 100 yards for the primary time in his profession towards the NFL’s worst run protection. Robinson is averaging 3.3 yards per carry, however that is been a perform of some missed blocks in addition to him getting used to operating within the NFL. He missed the primary 4 video games after being shot twice within the leg in August. However with the tight finish group getting more healthy, particularly blocking tight finish John Bates, and with a stronger dedication to calling runs by offensive coordinator Scott Turner, there must be some greater video games in Robinson’s future, particularly if the road improves on some particulars with footwork. Massive runs will comply with Sunday. — John Keim

Stat to know: The Commanders are 2-4 in video games Wentz began at quarterback this season, averaging 17 factors per sport. They’re 3-1 in video games Heinicke began, averaging 22 factors per sport.

Accidents: Commanders | Texans

What to know for fantasy: Terry McLaurin obtained rolling on Monday night time towards a stingy Eagles protection (eight catches for 128 yards), and now faces a Texans protection that has seen solely seven receivers gash it for over 15 fantasy factors in a sport this season (18.5 from Darius Slayton final week). See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: That is the sixteenth consecutive sport Houston shall be an underdog, the longest lively streak within the NFL, and the second-longest streak in franchise historical past (19 straight in 2002-03). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Commanders 20, Texans 14
Walder’s choose: Texans 24, Commanders 20
FPI prediction: WSH, 57.9% (by a mean of two.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Heinicke iced out after Commanders win over Eagles … Texans declare Amari Rodgers after Packers launch … Heinicke to begin once more Sunday; Wentz not prepared … A enjoyable custom: Heinicke buys Jordans for teammates after win vs. Eagles

4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DEN -3 (41)

What to observe for: Past two first-year head coaches on fast-warming seats, the Raiders are the one workforce to have carved out greater than 307 yards’ price of offense towards the Broncos this season and the one workforce to have scored greater than 19 factors this season towards the league’s No. 1 scoring protection — they did each within the Raiders’ 32-23 win in Week 4. Oh, and the Raiders rushed for a season-most 212 yards towards the Broncos’ protection as effectively. — Jeff Legwold

Daring prediction: With the Broncos’ No. 1-ranked scoring protection keyed as much as cease the run after Josh Jacobs rumbled for 144 yards towards it in Week 4, Raiders QB Derek Carr can have his first three-TD passing sport since Dec. 6, 2020. Sure, towards a Broncos protection that has not allowed such a sport since Nov. 8, 2020. Carr was emotional on the postgame podium final week, however mentioned Raiders proprietor Mark Davis giving first-year coach Josh McDaniels his help regardless of the workforce’s disappointing 2-7 begin gave the workforce a way of reduction and “confidence as a football team.” — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: The Broncos have scored greater than 20 factors solely twice this season, with their season excessive of 23 coming in a Week 3 loss to the Raiders.

Accidents: Raiders | Broncos

What to know for fantasy: Davante Adams has racked up a minimum of 95 receiving yards or discovered the tip zone in eight of 9 video games this season and was answerable for 53.7% of Carr’s passing yards within the first assembly with the Broncos this season. You do not have to love this passing sport to like what Adams is supplying you with in his first season away from Inexperienced Bay. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: Las Vegas is 9-1 ATS (8-2 SU) in its previous 10 conferences towards Denver, together with 5-0 ATS as an underdog in that span (3-2 SU). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Broncos 24, Raiders 21
Walder’s choose: Raiders 26, Broncos 16
FPI prediction: LV, 62.7% (by a mean of three.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Barnwell picks the NFL’s luckiest and unluckiest groups: Why Raiders qualify for each … Banged-up Broncos get excellent news on Jeudy … Carr, Adams applaud proprietor’s protection of McDaniels … Wilson, offense trending traditionally downward … Carr emotional at podium after Raiders’ newest loss

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: DAL -1.5 (47.5)

What to observe for: The Cowboys received at U.S. Financial institution Stadium in 2020 and 2021 and are favored heading into this matchup even after shedding Sunday at Inexperienced Bay. That might have one thing to do with the Vikings’ thrilling however taxing additional time victory Sunday at Buffalo, a sport that featured 178 performs, together with particular groups. Over the previous 20 years, NFL groups are 127-133 within the sport instantly following a highway sport that went to additional time, in keeping with ESPN Stats & Info analysis. — Kevin Seifert

Daring prediction: CeeDee Lamb can have extra receiving yards than Justin Jefferson. Jefferson has 5 catches for 107 yards and a landing vs. Dallas. Lamb has 10 catches for 146 yards and a landing vs. Minnesota, together with a 100-yard effort. Final week towards the Inexperienced Bay Packers, Lamb had profession highs in catches (11) and yards (150). On Sunday, he’ll put up back-to-back 100-yard video games consecutively for the second time in his profession. — Todd Archer

Stat to know: Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins has 39 straight video games with a passing landing, the longest lively streak within the NFL and the longest streak since Drew Brees went 45 straight from 2012 to 2015

Accidents: Cowboys | Vikings

What to know for fantasy: Tony Pollard has totaled 275 yards and 4 scores previously two video games with out Ezekiel Elliott. How does this break up look if Zeke is again? Pollard did clear 85 whole yards in two of his previous three with Elliott lively, so pencil him into lineups regardless. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: All 5 conferences between Dak Prescott and Cousins have gone over the entire. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Cowboys 34, Vikings 27
Walder’s choose: Cowboys 27, Vikings 24
FPI prediction: DAL, 56.6% (by a mean of two factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cowboys know Achilles’ heel is run protection, so how do they repair it? … Jefferson, Jeff Saturday prime NFL quotes of the week … A turning level for Cowboys? Why loss to Packers is not ‘only one sport’



Stephen A. Smith weighs in on whether or not Dak Prescott is the Cowboys’ weakest hyperlink after an additional time loss to the Packers.

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CIN -4 (41)

What to observe for: Name this one the appendectomy bowl. Steelers security Minkah Fitzpatrick was projected to overlook a few weeks after present process an appendectomy Saturday following the workforce’s pre-Saints walk-through. However Mike Tomlin mentioned early reviews of Fitzpatrick’s restoration this week had been constructive, which means there’s an opportunity he is on the sector to face quarterback Joe Burrow, who additionally had an emergency appendectomy after his appendix ruptured in late July. Fitzpatrick was a power within the season opener towards the Bengals, selecting off Burrow’s first move try for a pick-six. — Brooke Pryor

Daring prediction: Burrow will throw for 300 yards and three landing passes in a blowout win. On paper, Cincinnati must be positioned for a giant win. The offensive line is taking part in significantly better in current weeks, and Burrow is not recent off a critical appendectomy like he was in Week 1. All of that ought to yield a giant day for the Cincy QB. — Ben Child

Stat to know: The Steelers are coming off their greatest dashing efficiency of the season, as they ran for 187 yards in Week 10 towards the Saints, together with 99 from operating again Najee Harris and 51 from rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett.

Accidents: Bengals | Steelers

What to know for fantasy: The final time we noticed Joe Mixon, he was setting franchise data (Week 9 vs. CAR: 211 yards and 5 touchdowns), however it’s a minimum of price noting that it took him 27 totes to choose up 82 yards towards the Steelers in Week 1 (and 31 of these yards got here on a single carry). Lineup lock in season-long leagues, clearly, however take into account your choices when speaking DFS. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: After not protecting the unfold the primary two weeks of the 2022 season the Bengals are 6-1 ATS of their previous seven video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bengals 27, Steelers 20
Walder’s choose: Bengals 30, Steelers 13
FPI prediction: CIN, 79.6% (by a mean of 9.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bengals following final season’s script, however will turnaround be the identical? … Harris warming to Steelers’ operating back-by-committee strategy

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: KC -6 (51)

What to observe for: The Chargers have been decimated by accidents since a Week 2 loss to the Chiefs, however coach Brandon Staley expressed optimism that gamers will quickly start to return. That might embody broad receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, who returned to observe this week after lacking the previous two video games. The Bolts know this matchup towards the division chief is essential of their try and earn their first playoff berth since 2018. — Lindsey Thiry

Daring prediction: The sport shall be determined by greater than seven factors, which hasn’t occurred previously 4 conferences when neither workforce is resting key gamers to arrange for the postseason. This time, although, the Chiefs are on a roll, having received three straight video games, two by double digits. Patrick Mahomes is taking part in in addition to he ever has. The Chargers have misplaced two of three. The Chiefs have not misplaced to the Chargers in Southern California since 2013. — Adam Teicher

Stat to know: Mahomes’ run of 13 straight wins in highway division video games is the second longest by a beginning QB because the 1970 merger, trailing Corridor of Famer Joe Montana’s 20-game run with the 49ers from 1984 to 1993.

Accidents: Chiefs | Chargers

What to know for fantasy: Isiah Pacheco out-snapped Jerick McKinnon 35-23 final week, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire was on the sector for simply 4 performs. The lead again on this explosive offense comes with top-15 potential, and Pacheco definitely appears to have the within observe as we strategy the stretch run of the fantasy season. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: That is solely the third time the Chargers have been an underdog this season. They lined the unfold through the first two, together with final week towards the 49ers (misplaced 22-16 as an 8-point ‘canine). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chiefs 35, Chargers 28
Walder’s choose: Chiefs 38, Chargers 24
FPI prediction: KC, 80.2% (by a mean of 10 factors)

Matchup must-reads: NFL MVP watch 2022: Rating prime candidates, Mahomes’ probabilities … Allen, Williams observe, however two DLs go on IR … Chiefs ‘mad’ over no-call as Smith-Schuster enters concussion protocol

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: SF -8 (43.5)

What to observe for: DeAndre Hopkins has had a minimum of 100 receiving yards in two of his 4 video games this season and 98 in a 3rd. That does not bode effectively for a 49ers protection that is allowed three 100-yard receivers and two others with 98 and 97 yards. Hopkins additionally may very well be bolstered by the doable return of Marquise Brown, who’s eligible to be activated at any level through the subsequent three weeks. Hopkins has proven that he is able to going for giant video games with each Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy at quarterback, so one other 100-yard sport may very well be in retailer in prime time in Mexico Metropolis on Monday night time. — Josh Weinfuss

Daring prediction: The 49ers can have a minimum of 230 yards after the catch. The best output by a workforce this season was the 229 YAC the Broncos had in Week 1 towards the Seahawks. However this matchup skews closely in favor of the Niners’ means to emphasize Arizona’s tackling. Coming into this week, San Francisco is fourth within the league in YAC per sport and first in YAC per reception. In the meantime, the Cardinals’ protection permits essentially the most YAC per sport and YAC per reception within the NFL. — Nick Wagoner

Stat to know: The 49ers have scored on 50% of their drives since buying operating again McCaffrey, the third-highest charge within the NFL. They had been scoring on solely 29% of their drives prior. McCaffrey has been on the sector for seven of their eight offensive touchdowns because the commerce.

Accidents: 49ers | Cardinals

What to know for fantasy: Kenneth Walker III was the one operating again final week to account for a better share of his workforce’s backfield touches than James Conner (96%). It has been a bumpy experience, however Conner seems poised to repay his preseason price ticket on the actual proper time for fantasy managers. See Week 11 rankings.

Betting nugget: After going beneath for 4 consecutive weeks in Weeks 3-6, Cardinals video games have gone over the entire the previous 4 weeks. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: 49ers 31, Cardinals 27
Walder’s choose: 49ers 26, Cardinals 22
FPI prediction: SF, 68.8% (by a mean of 5.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Regardless of win, Shanahan baffled by Greenlaw ejection … Cardinals QB Murray feels ‘good’ however uncertain of standing for MNF … Watt pays out fan’s parlay after blown name