Co-Host of THE HERD and FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
There are two weeks left till the top of the NFL’s common season and the playoff race is shaping into place.
Whereas a number of groups are battling for the highest of playoff seeding, there are a number of groups within the 7-8 win vary which are nonetheless within the hunt and searching for assist to make their approach into the postseason festivities.
The largest recreation on the docket is the Payments-Bengals matchup, which can decide the highest seed within the AFC.
Additionally included are my New York Jets, who’re getting Mike White again and discover themselves as considered one of my favourite picks of the week once more.
So with out additional ado, listed below are my finest bets for Week 17 (with odds by way of FOX Guess):
Payments at Bengals (8:30 p.m. ET, Monday, ESPN)
The Bengals have quietly been the most effective workforce within the league the final seven weeks, going 7-0 in that stretch with wins over six groups that had been/are within the playoff hunt (besides Cleveland).
Final week’s win over New England — after grabbing a 22-0 lead — was fortuitous, given the Patriots had first and aim on the 5-yard line with lower than two minutes to go earlier than fumbling. Cincinnati had three turnovers to make it a recreation, and the Bengals particular groups had been terrible with two missed further factors and a missed FG.
Buffalo hasn’t been spectacular currently, narrowly beating Miami on a late area aim, and Josh Allen stays in a funk after throwing two unhealthy interceptions towards Chicago. The Payments are simply 3-6 towards the unfold (ATS) of their final 9 video games, however they know this recreation is to retain dwelling area within the playoffs and never must go to Arrowhead for the third straight yr.
The Bengals have lined a staggering 12 of 13, they usually’re one level underdogs at dwelling. However observe that proper deal with La’el Collins has been misplaced for the season attributable to an ACL damage, and his backup, Hakeem Adeniji struggled within the second half towards the Patriots and faces Greg Rousseau (seven sacks, 10 tackles for loss).
The general public goes to experience with the Bengals, however is that this the place the fantastic run ends?
PICK: Payments (-1 at FOX Guess) to win by greater than 1 level
Is Mike White wholesome, or ought to Jets be panicking?
With two extra weeks of the common season, Craig Carton pulls out the Panic Button, and decides which of those groups ought to be anxious going into the playoffs.
Jets at Seahawks (4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, FOX)
Due to the Patriots and Dolphins shedding in Week 16, the Jets are as soon as once more in nice form to sneak into the playoffs.
The duty is affordable, too: Win this recreation, after which win at Miami, and all they want is Buffalo to defeat New England within the remaining week of the season and the Jets are in.
Getting Mike White again from his rib damage immediately despatched bettors to the window backing the Jets on the street. The Jets had been 6-3 after their win towards Buffalo however have cratered since, shedding 5 of six. However on condition that Zach Wilson began three of these losses, you’ll be able to see why the Jets are favored.
With White on the helm, the Jets outgained the Vikings by 200 yards and practically gained on the street; they lined the unfold in Buffalo the next week, the sport through which White was injured.
Seattle’s largest drawback is the Tyler Lockett damage. He’s their finest possession receiver, and with out him, Geno Smith appeared misplaced for giant stretches of the KC recreation. In the event you put Sauce Gardner on DK Metcalf, you surprise what Geno does offensively.
PICK: Jets (-2 at FOX Guess) to win by greater than 2 factors
Tom Brady: ‘Subsequent time I determine to retire, that is it for me’
Nick Wright, Greg Jennings and Kevin Wildes talk about the way forward for Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady.
Panthers at Buccaneers (1 p.m. ET, Sunday, FOX)
Is Tampa Bay any good?
The Bucs have gone 4-6 of their final 10, they usually wanted fourth quarter comebacks to beat bottom-feeders in three of these wins — Rams, Cardinals, Saints.
This isn’t about Tampa being uninterested — they’re simply not an excellent offense till they must hustle and get within the two-minute drill. Why not simply run it the whole recreation?
The final time these two groups met, everybody misplaced their shirt (and certain misplaced in Survivor) — the Panthers buried the Bucs 21-3 as 13 level dwelling underdogs. You possibly can play up the revenge angle all you need, however this Carolina workforce could be very completely different with Sam Darnold at QB and Steve Wilks as head coach. Within the final assembly, it was PJ Walker and Matt Rhule, respectively.
The Panthers have been surging, going 7-1 ATS the final eight video games they had been underdogs. And now they’ve an offense, as evidenced by 570 yards on the bottom towards Detroit.
Earlier than you guess Tampa, do not forget that Tristan Wirfs left the sport Sunday evening when he aggravated his damage and one other deal with, Josh Wells, was carted off and is completed for the season. Tampa’s OL is a mash unit. Perhaps Donovan Smith returns, however they’ll want him towards a robust Panthers OL.
PICK: 1st half Below 19.5 factors scored by each groups mixed at FOX Guess
Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports activities betting analyst, and he additionally writes in regards to the NFL and NBA Draft. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on each present on the community. In 2017, McIntyre started producing playing content material on the NFL, school soccer and NBA for FOX Sports activities. He had a playing podcast for FOX, “Coming Up Winners,” in 2018 and 2019. Earlier than arriving at FOX, he created the web site The Large Lead, which he offered in 2010.
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