Insider report: How the general public is betting Tennesee-Georgia, Packers-Lions

Principally each fall soccer weekend, Sunday NFL is the principle course, with Saturdays on campus because the appetizer.

However this weekend, the entrée arrives early, with the faculty soccer Week 10 odds board serving up Tennessee at Georgia. The Vols are No. 1 within the just-released School Soccer Playoff rankings, whereas Georgia is No. 3. Let’s break down this week’s terrific slate of video games.

Following is extra on that SEC conflict, different school soccer Week 10 odds nuggets and a few NFL Week 9 odds gems.

Rocky High Between the Hedges

Tennessee is having a stellar season to this point, at 8-0 straight up (SU) and a rock-solid 7-1 towards the unfold (ATS). So these betting on the Vols are definitely cashing tickets. The largest win got here on Oct. 15, a riveting 52-49 victory towards Alabama. And as 8.5-point house underdogs, no much less.

Quick-forward to this week, and the top-ranked Vols are comparable underdogs, catching 8 factors. However this time, it’s on the street towards the defending nationwide champion Bulldogs.

There’s little doubt this matchup could have a ton of cash guess on it by kickoff Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET. However Neil Fitzroy, danger supervisor and oddsmaker at The SuperBook, mentioned late Wednesday night time, it’s just a little quiet.

“Nothing to it. We opened Georgia -8, and we’re still at -8. Only small stuff so far among the straight bets,” Fitzroy mentioned. “Tennessee is getting 64% of [spread] tickets. The public probably likes Tennessee. But sharp guys and market movers aren’t showing their hands yet.

“I’m positive the cash will pour in on that sport Friday and Saturday.”

Opinion is way more outlined at DraftKings, as Tennessee-Georgia begins to look quite a bit like Alabama-Tennessee three weeks in the past. Within the Tide-Vols matchup, unfold and moneyline bettors have been all around the house ‘dog Vols and made it pay off.

Less than 72 hours before the Vols-Bulldogs kickoff, DraftKings is seeing spread tickets and money running beyond 7-1 on road pup Tennessee. And on the moneyline, ticket count is 3-1 and money 9-1-plus on the Vols to nab another outright upset.

Remember the Titans?

You remember, right? The Titans were the AFC’s No. 1 seed within the playoffs final season. Then Tennessee was unceremoniously dumped 19-16 by eventual AFC champion Cincinnati.

The Titans then misplaced their first two video games this season.

But since then, Tennessee (5-2 SU and ATS) has won and covered five in a row. That’s definitely how you want to be playing when you have to go to Kansas City for a Sunday night showdown.

The Chiefs are 5-2 SU/3-4 ATS, but oddsmakers clearly believe K.C. is head-and-shoulders – and upper torso – above Tennessee. WynnBet opened the Chiefs as 11-point favorites, went to -12 Monday afternoon, then to -12.5 Tuesday afternoon.

“Tennessee is coming off a comparatively straightforward division win towards the lowly Texans. Kansas Metropolis could possibly be sleepy coming off the bye week,” WynnBet trader John Manica said. “However, the guess of observe got here on the Chiefs at -12, taking our worth to -12.5, the place the market stands.”

The Titans, with rookie Malik Willis at QB, beat the Texans 17-10 last week. Willis did very little, but little was required because Derrick Henry ran wild for 219 yards and two touchdowns. Starting QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle) hopes to return this week, but that’s not yet determined. And that’s putting most bettors on hold, too.

“The actual motion hasn’t are available in on this contest but, as I anticipate the sharps to take an even bigger stance later within the week when Tannehill’s well being has been sorted additional,” Manica said. “He’s listed as questionable and took part in a restricted vogue in [Wednesday’s] follow. I anticipate a flood of Tennessee motion if Tannehill is introduced the starter.”

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The place Are They Now?

In January, you would possibly recall that the Los Angeles Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers gave us an exhilarating NFC Divisional Spherical playoff sport. (And you actually would possibly recall the sport that adopted on that spectacular Sunday: Payments vs. Chiefs.) The Rams obtained out of Tampa with a 30-27 victory and finally gained the Tremendous Bowl.

However this season, the Rams and Bucs look nothing like these groups. L.A. is 3-4 SU/2-5 ATS, whereas Tampa Bay is 3-5 SU/2-6 ATS. And Tom Brady & Co. have did not cowl the quantity six straight weeks.

The Rams and Bucs meet once more Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET, {and professional} bettors have already weighed in.

“Even though both teams haven’t looked their best recently, the sharps have taken an early stand on this game,” Manica mentioned. “We were at +3 (-105) Tuesday on the Rams, and a respectable source took that price. Then, about an hour later, another player of note bet us at +3 (-115) on the Rams. That caused us to move off the key number to Bucs -2.5 (-120), where we are currently. There has been little interest on the Bucs at that price.”

Extra Sharp Sides

One skilled bettor is intrigued by a pair of house underdogs within the NFL Week 9 odds market: Washington and New Orleans. The Commanders (4-4 SU and ATS) host the surging Minnesota Vikings (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS), whereas the Saints (3-5 SU and ATS) meet the Baltimore Ravens (5-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) on Monday Night time Soccer.

“I’m on Washington +3.5. The Commanders have the No. 2 run defense in the league. And in my opinion, Minnesota isn’t the same team on the road, especially under center,” he mentioned. “Also, the QB change has inspired the Commanders.”

Carson Wentz is on injured reserve with a finger harm. In his absence, Taylor Heinicke has helped Washington win two in a row – the Commanders have gained three straight total – heading into Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET kickoff on FOX.

As for the Saints, the sharp bettor obtained the very best of the quantity, as New Orleans is presently +2.5.

“I took New Orleans +3.5 early. That number is gone,” he mentioned. “I believe [Ravens tight end] Mark Andrews sits, and the Saints have new life because of this [bad] division.”

Andrews (shoulder/ankle) was damage in Baltimore’s Week 8 Thursday night time win at Tampa Bay. He’s questionable to play towards New Orleans.

And to the bettor’s level on the NFC South, no staff is above .500, with Atlanta presently in first place at 4-4 SU.

School Soccer Rocks on FOX

Again on campus, Texas Christian is 8-0 SU and the most effective spread-covering groups in school soccer, at 6-1-1 ATS. However the Horned Frogs sit No. 7 within the preliminary School Soccer Playoff rankings.

Which means not solely does TCU must win out, but it surely’s going to want some assist to have any likelihood of constructing the four-team match.

In Saturday’s Huge Midday on FOX matchup, TCU is a 9.5-point house favourite towards Texas Tech (4-4 SU and ATS). At DraftKings, the Horned Frogs are getting 75% of early tickets on the purpose unfold. However, point-spread cash is way nearer, with simply 53% of money on the house favourite TCU.

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Backing the Pack

Inexperienced Bay has been downright ugly this season, sitting at 3-5 SU and ATS to this point. Aaron Rodgers & Co. have dropped 4 in a row on the sphere. About the one saving grace was that the Packers coated as 10.5-point underdogs of their 27-17 Week 8 loss at Buffalo. That snapped a four-game ATS skid.

In Week 9, Inexperienced Bay goals to get again on observe on the street towards cellar-dwelling Detroit (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS). It’s a 1 p.m. ET Sunday kickoff on FOX.

Regardless of all of the Packers’ woes, public/leisure bettors would possibly nonetheless have just a little within the tank for A-Rodg.

“Green Bay has not been able to put together a win in four weeks, and they needed more than 60 minutes to put away the Patriots a long time ago for their last win,” WynnBet’s Manica mentioned, alluding to an extra time house victory on Oct. 2. “The lowly Lions did some selling this week, trading away one of their best offensive weapons in [tight end] T.J. Hockenson. The action on this division game has been small but lopsided on the Packers in ticket count.”

So it’ll be a typical week for Manica and different oddsmakers, rooting for Detroit, which is a 3.5-point house ‘dog.

“The public will see Rodgers laying a small number against the worst team in the NFL,” Manica said. “Being from Detroit, just when you think the Lions can’t win, generally the opposite happens. I expect a public backing of the Packers, with the sharps taking the Lions in what could shape up as the classic professional opinion against the public.”

I Like Big Bets and I Cannot Lie

There haven’t been any main wagers reported but for this weekend’s NFL or school video games. However one bettor at Caesars Sports activities had a pleasant Monday night time. And it capped a giant NFL weekend for the high-roller.

The bettor had a pair of $110,000 bets on the Bengals-Browns sport:

  • Browns +3.5, and Cleveland rolled 32-13, a $100,000 win for the shopper
  • Beneath 47.5, which barely obtained there, however obtained there nonetheless, for an additional $100K cashout

That was after the identical buyer went 2-1 on three extra $110,000 bets in NFL Week 9:

  • Cowboys -9.5 vs. Bears (win)
  • Seahawks -3 towards Giants (win)
  • Bucs +1.5 vs. Ravens (loss)

So for the week, the massive bettor completed up $290,000. That’ll assist in a crummy economic system – not that this bettor has any cash worries by any means. Right here’s hoping you have got comparable success, although absolutely at a a lot smaller scale, this weekend.

Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He’s a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting area. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Comply with him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.


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