Listed below are a number of Monday morning ideas from the Hoops Lab, as we put together for Week 9 of the fantasy basketball season. Remember, the Fantasy Basketball Remainder of Season Rankings additionally replace on Mondays, so test these out as your put together for this week’s video games. Between the rankings and this text, we’ll additionally assist you to establish some good Purchase Low/Promote excessive candidates. So, with out additional ado, let’s dig into it.
Pelicans finest out West, however what occurs to Zion when Ingram returns?
The Golden State Warriors are your defending champions. The Phoenix Suns had the perfect report within the NBA final season. The Clippers are the good “what if?”, the group in ready except/till Kawhi Leonard and Paul George can get and keep wholesome on the similar time for an prolonged time frame. The Nuggets have the two-time defending NBA MVP. The Grizzlies have the subsequent era Human Spotlight Movie Jr. (shout-out to Dominique Wilkins).
However…quiet as stored? The New Orleans Pelicans are enjoying the perfect basketball within the West proper now…and it is not notably shut.
The Pelicans have gained seven straight video games and 9 of their final 10. In that stretch, they’ve crushed the Suns twice, the Warriors and the Nuggets. On the sports activities betting entrance, it is value noting that the Pelicans nonetheless have the sixth-longest odds to win the Western Convention (+800), regardless of having the perfect report within the league a few third of the best way into the season.
On the fantasy hoops entrance, it is essential that they are doing all this successful with out younger All Star Brandon Ingram. Ingram has missed all seven video games of their present win streak with a toe harm. In his absence, the Pelicans have run by means of their different younger All Star and centerpiece, Zion Williamson, who’s averaging 30.0 PPG (66.9 FG%, 74.6 FT%), 9.1 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.6 SPG and 1.1 BPG in 36.3 MPG through the streak. Whereas the mega-efficient, high-volume scoring is the eye grabber, do not sleep on the assists. The Pelicans are successful by working their offense by means of Zion, and letting him determine whether or not to create for teammates or end himself, and his fantasy worth is thru the roof.
However, Ingram might be returning quickly…per his coach, the hope is that he returns through the upcoming highway journey. This could in the end be nice for the Pelicans, as a result of Ingram is an impressive participant. However, he is additionally a high-usage participant that’s third on the group with 15.4 FGA and second on the group with 4.9 APG. Earlier than Ingram’s present seven-game absence, Zion was “only” averaging 22.4 PPG and three.7 APG whereas sharing the court docket with Ingram. His different numbers have been down as properly (6.3 RPG, 1.1 SPG, 0.3 BPG), however the offensive ones are those it appears most probably that Ingram might affect.
I’ve steered prior to now that fantasy managers rostering Zion must be cautious of his harm historical past, and may think about buying and selling him excessive. If that’s your inclination, that is in all probability your finest alternative to take action. It is laborious to think about Zion producing at this degree as soon as Ingram comes again, so this very properly could also be the perfect fantasy manufacturing you may see from him this season. And your commerce supply ought to primarily write itself…a man averaging virtually 30/10/5 on virtually 70% (!!!!) taking pictures from the sector who’s ridiculous dunks lead SportsCenter each day must be somebody you will get good worth for.
Westbrook dishing to Davis
I observed a development that I wrote about in Sunday’s Every day Notes, and made it the centerpiece of my Finest Wager for the day. And it performed out once more, virtually precisely, making it now a development I will be watching this week. Within the final six video games, Anthony Davis has performed greater than eight minutes in 4 video games. That is how Westbrook has carried out subsequent to Davis, versus when Davis was out:
The Lakers appear to have discovered their technique, and their degree, when Davis is offered. All the things is designed for Davis to be the first finisher, even over LeBron James. Westbrook appears to have purchased into this fully. When Davis is on the court docket, Westbrook drives to dish to Davis. When Davis is out, Westbrook drives to complete himself. This has clear fantasy, DFS and sports activities betting implications for what to anticipate from Westbrook. On Sunday, Westbrook’s assists prop was set at 6.5, and he completed with 9 assists. Till Vegas catches up, the Westbrook help prop is worthy of nightly consideration.
Paul George and Kawhi Leonard
Leonard and George have been injured for a lot of the season, a reality I’ve lamented right here a number of occasions. However final week they returned and, outdoors of the second half of a back-to-back the place Kawhi (expectedly) sat, and each are slowly rounding into type.
George performed all 4 video games, however within the final two he regarded like PG13 with averages of 32.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 6.5 APG, 5.0 3PG, 2.0 SPG and 1.0 BPG. He has the power to play at this degree for lengthy stretches, if he can keep wholesome. However, his scoring can be anticipated to be attenuated if and when his working mate Kawhi lastly reaches his degree. And…he is not that far-off.
In his three video games final week, Kawhi averaged 14.3 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 3.7 APG and 1.0 3PG in 29.3 MPG. That final stat is crucial: 29.3 MPG. Whereas Kawhi remains to be minutes capped, the ceiling has elevated from his run earlier within the season. If he is capable of proceed to remain on the court docket (outdoors of back-to-backs), the subsequent threshold to look at might be when the minutes restrict is totally gone. People who drafted Leonard have been ready virtually two months to see him play to degree. He isn’t there but, however for the primary time this season it looks like the true Kawhi could also be on the horizon. Perhaps.
Lillard awakening, Simons channeling McCollum
Damian Lillard had a three-game streak means again in October the place he broke out Dame Time, averaging 37.7 PPG in three straight wins. Then, the subsequent sport, he strained his calf and hasn’t been the identical since. He missed 12 video games outright, and within the eight video games he performed he averaged 22.1 PPG on 37.4 FG% whereas by no means breaking the 30 level threshold. However, as of this weekend, it is Dame Time once more.
In his previous two video games, Lillard has exploded for 38.0 PPG (47.7 FG%, 100 FT%), 10.0 APG, 6.0 3PG, 3.5 RPG and a pair of.0 SPG in 39.5 MPG. Lillard begins off this week dealing with the identical Timberwolves protection he simply torched on Saturday. I will be watching to see how lengthy this run of Dame Time can final.
Oh, and by the best way…regulate Anfernee Simons. Final season, Simons exploded whereas Lillard was injured, however he’d by no means been capable of carry out to max degree whereas Lillard was on the court docket. As of late, although, Simons is channeling his internal CJ McCollum and thriving even when Lillard is enjoying properly. Simons has scored no less than 22 factors in six of the final seven video games he is performed with Lillard, capped by the 31 factors and 5 3-pointers he dropped in opposition to the Timberwolves on Saturday.
Welcome dwelling BG
This final one is not about males’s fantasy basketball. I simply need to take a second to say an enormous Welcome House to Brittney Griner, who was away from her household for a lot too lengthy. Very grateful to have you ever dwelling, BG!