Two issues have been true of the College Soccer Playoff committee’s first eight years of alternatives.
First, the committee has virtually definitely gotten the highest 4 appropriate whenever. For any debates over Ohio State in 2014 or Alabama in 2017, the eventual outcomes — a nationwide championship for each — served as the ultimate phrase in any argument.
However the second element price noting in regards to the committee’s course of is that, ultimately, the choices have virtually solely been simple. Even these mildly controversial decisions truly represented the best doable answer for the committee. For all of the griping and hand-wringing over each rankings launch main as much as the ultimate poll, the celebrities have all the time aligned ultimately.
That is not the case this season.
On a championship weekend that appeared to have little probability of disrupting the established order, TCU and USC threw wrenches into the works. With Ohio State and Alabama relaxed on their respective couches, toes up and a bowl of chips on their laps, they in some way have been pulled from the playoff scrap heap, dusted off and located to be playoff-caliber groups in spite of everything.
On Friday, Utah demolished USC 47-24, hanging a second loss on the Trojans’ résumé — all as a result of they needed to play an additional recreation that Ohio State, Alabama and Tennessee didn’t.
On Saturday, Max Duggan’s heroics fell six inches shy of a win, and TCU’s case is now within the committee’s fingers, the place it will choose the Horned Frogs’ one loss in additional time to Kansas State in opposition to Ohio State’s lone defeat vs. Michigan — a blowout from per week in the past that now appears like historic historical past.
USC has two losses — but it surely has misplaced to only one staff, similar as Ohio State. It misplaced in a blowout to a extremely ranked convention rival, similar as Ohio State. It has a Heisman Trophy-caliber quarterback, a cadre of elite receivers, a shaky protection and a formidable win over Notre Dame, similar as Ohio State.
TCU took the L, however did not that frenetic comeback supply a reminder of the joy the Frogs have given us all 12 months? (And if it did not, simply stare deeply into the Hypnotoad’s eyes.) A goal-line stand in additional time was the distinction in TCU’s 31-28 loss to Kansas State, however the Horned Frogs stay this season’s Cinderella, even when the committee is now trying again at Alabama’s depraved stepmother within the newest model of that Twitter meme.
Kansas State stuffs TCU on the objective line in additional time.
The committee might want to weigh placing in groups with extra expertise (Ohio State or Alabama) over groups that nearly definitely are extra deserving (TCU, USC, Tennessee). They will must weigh whether or not to punish groups that have been so good within the common season that they earned a spot of their convention title recreation or admit that every thing that occurred this weekend finally had no influence. They will should weigh whether or not there’s extra worth in giving upstarts entry into essentially the most unique membership in sports activities or in enjoying to the TV rankings to create arguably the largest battle of identify manufacturers within the playoff’s temporary historical past.
So, what’s the suitable reply?
To observe Duggan drag the Horned Frogs again from the abyss and into additional time, bent over, bleeding and gulping for air like he’d simply survived Black Friday at Walmart, solely essentially the most callous of voters may forged a poll ignoring TCU’s 12-1 season. The person ran for 95 yards on an 80-yard landing drive, in spite of everything.
And but, the committee has by no means functioned on emotion. Committees, by design, are heartless entities.
To observe Caleb Williams limping via an unimaginably dangerous second half Friday night time, blanketed by an unrelenting Utah cross rush, however nonetheless able to real magic on the soccer subject, would anybody fault the committee for punching a ticket for the nation’s most fun participant and, within the course of, providing the West Coast its first style of playoff soccer in six years?
And but, there’s just about no case to be made that USC’s protection would maintain up in opposition to Georgia or Michigan in any playoff matchup.
Would the committee actually punish Georgia with a Peach Bowl matchup in opposition to Ohio State simply to keep away from a first-round rematch between the Buckeyes and Wolverines?
Would the committee actually hand an invitation to 10-2 Alabama over a Tennessee staff with the identical document and a head-to-head win?
Would the committee actually be prepared for the blowback of placing Alabama into the playoff at any value? Would not that solely give affirmation to all of the conspiracy theorists who already consider Nick Saban is the puppet grasp directing the entire sordid affair to start with?
Yeah, filling out this 12 months’s dance card is not going to be simple. The committee ought to in all probability ship Shane Beamer and South Carolina a pleasant thank-you card and a fruit basket for making certain this debate is not much more sophisticated.
Heather Dinich breaks down what USC’s loss means for College Soccer Playoff hopefuls, Ohio State and Alabama.
Then once more, if this championship weekend did little to settle the season’s high 4 groups, Georgia’s utter annihilation of LSU may need supplied a extra necessary lesson: The king continues to be the king.
For all of the sound and fury over TCU and USC, Tennessee and Alabama, Ohio State or just about some other staff within the nation, the true monster looming on the horizon is a 5-11 former walk-on who simply hung 50 on the 14th-ranked staff within the nation. To suppose, LSU coach Brian Kelly has spent the previous 12 months chugging candy tea, pretending to love jazz and utilizing “Bless his heart” in informal dialog, and that is all he has to point out for it. Unhappy, actually. Would not it simply be easier to let Stetson Bennett select his subsequent sufferer, like choosing a lobster from the tank at some chain seafood restaurant? “Yes, I’ll take TCU … and keep the biscuits coming.”
Georgia stays the elephant within the room (except Alabama will get into the playoff, too, during which case there’d be two elephants, which might be awkward). However why look up to now forward? Maybe the true takeaway is: Spending Saturday worrying about Sunday was to overlook the great things.
Duggan may need earned his share of Heisman votes in a loss. It was as gutty a efficiency as we have seen all 12 months. It was faculty soccer at its most interesting.
Lincoln Riley’s rebuild at USC was no much less spectacular as a result of it ended on a bitter word. The Trojans — and the Pac-12 — have been related into December for the primary time in years. And nonetheless, the old-school portion of school soccer obtained the final giggle, as throwback Kyle Whittingham and his built-from-scratch Utes staved off the way forward for NIL-bought championships for a minimum of one other 12 months.
Georgia dominated as we have come to anticipate, but it surely was nonetheless Bennett’s first SEC championship. His storybook profession would’ve been no much less astonishing with out it, but it surely nonetheless would’ve felt like studying a novel understanding a chapter was lacking, “War and Peace” with out the peace.
The committee will work out the place the chips fall. It should require extra powerful decisions than it ever has, and days or perhaps weeks or, maybe, years of righteous outrage will comply with.
However Saturday was nonetheless the enjoyable half. It all the time is.
So, about that Heisman race.
Checking in on the Heisman race… pic.twitter.com/n63cobwZ09
— 💫🅰️♈️🆔 (@ADavidHaleJoint) December 3, 2022
Nearly each contender for the award stumbled to the end line with a loss — be it Hendon Hooker in Week 12, C.J. Stroud in Week 13 or Max Duggan and Caleb Williams in convention championship video games.
Does that imply the Heisman betting needs to be utterly upended? Nicely, somebody has to win, and somewhat recency bias should not overshadow some terrific seasons.
1. Ohio State QB C.J. Stroud
Separating Stroud and Williams at this level is solely about splitting hairs. Stroud is only a tick higher in Whole QBR. Williams has two fewer picks. Stroud accomplished 66.2% of his passes. Williams accomplished 66.1%. Stroud averaged 9.4 yards per cross. Williams averaged 9.1 They each threw 37 touchdowns. They each have been distinctive, however what places Stroud forward right here is that this: He did all of it with Jaxson Smith-Njigba enjoying simply three video games and TreVeyon Henderson lacking 4 video games. As deep as Ohio State is on the talent positions, Stroud made each considered one of a parade of rising stars who stepped into larger roles higher. And he did all of it regardless of having to spend half of each recreation watching different Massive Ten offenses. Are you aware how exhausting it’s to remain awake via all that?
2. USC QB Caleb Williams
If he’d crushed Utah, would he be a clear-cut No. 1? Maybe. However Williams rolled the cube shifting to the Pac-12, understanding that nothing ends properly there, so he should reside with the implications.
3. TCU QB Max Duggan
Sure, Duggan misplaced Saturday. However the loss was hardly on him. The person ran himself into close to hypothermia, and if he’d made it six inches additional in additional time, TCU is likely to be 13-0 proper now. Duggan’s efficiency was herculean even when the reward hardly matched the trouble, like these guys who end a 64-ounce steak simply to get a free t-shirt and their photograph on the wall of the restaurant. If it wasn’t finally sufficient to win him the Heisman, it was definitely sufficient to safe his spot in New York for Heisman weekend — and within the hearts of TCU followers without end.
4. Georgia QB Stetson Bennett
There was one QB who completed the season on a excessive word, and that is Bennett. The Heisman just isn’t supposed to be a lifetime achievement award, even when Bennett’s life is the stuff of legend. However his numbers warrant consideration on their very own. His 86.3 Whole QBR is only a fraction shy of Williams’ 86.4. He is accounted for greater than 3,500 yards and added 27 touchdowns. He is led Georgia to a 13-0 document and he is finished it with a supporting forged that hardly appears just like the cadre of superstars at USC or Ohio State (no offense to Brock Bowers, as a result of actually, we’re afraid of Brock Bowers). To vote for Bennett could not be merely in regards to the stats or the legacy. His case is someplace within the margins, in understanding he possesses some uncommon magic that may’t be quantified or understood however that makes him simply in regards to the coolest human being since Miles Davis.
5. Alabama QB Bryce Younger
There is a motive just one participant in historical past has gained a number of Heisman trophies. Not solely is it exhausting to repeat an elite efficiency, however slightly than being judged in opposition to the opposite contenders, he is inevitably judged in opposition to his prior 12 months’s success. Such is the case for Younger, who misplaced two video games and missed a large chunk of two extra, and that is merely not sufficient to get in finished when the usual is so extremely excessive. However Alabama’s offense was not the wrecking ball we have been used to seeing, and Younger was the spark that saved the Crimson Tide’s season alive. He will not win the award, however there’s nonetheless an excellent case to be made he was the most effective participant within the nation in 2022.
Sanders leaves with SWAC title
Deion Sanders landed a trophy and a brand new job Saturday, main Jackson State to a SWAC title with a 43-24 win over Southern earlier than formally accepting the head-coaching job at Colorado.
Sanders’ son, Shedeur Sanders, threw for 305 yards and 4 touchdowns within the win. Sanders wrapped his Jackson State teaching profession with a document of 27-5.
Colorado AD Rick George confirmed Sanders’ hiring Saturday night time, which allowed Coach Prime sufficient time to lease a celebration bus for all of the gamers he is prone to take with him to highway journey out to Boulder that can even be filmed for a brand new Netflix particular. On the plus aspect for Jackson State, nevertheless, Sanders did depart a pleasant word on his desk studying: “Thanks for the memories. IOU 1 recruiting class. Love Coach Prime.”
Tulane wins American
In 1998, Tulane went 12-0 and gained Convention USA. For the following 23 years, the Inexperienced Wave went with no convention title, and there have been no celebrations in New Orleans so far as we’re conscious.
However that torment got here to a rollicking finish Saturday as Tulane demolished UCF within the American Athletic Convention championship recreation, securing a New Yr’s Six bowl bid within the course of.
Michael Pratt threw for 394 yards and 4 touchdowns, and Tyjae Spears rushed for 199 yards and a rating within the 45-28 win, incomes revenge after UCF gained their regular-season matchup three weeks in the past.
Tulane racked up 649 yards within the recreation, its second most since that 1998 season, in keeping with ESPN Stats & Info analysis, and the bludgeoning may’ve been even worse. The Inexperienced Wave turned the ball over thrice and did not convert a fourth down deep in their very own territory that led to a UCF landing.
Tulane now enters its bowl recreation with 11 wins for simply the second time in its historical past, only one 12 months after a depressing 2-10 marketing campaign.
We solely hope the Inexperienced Wave will have the ability to discover a number of institutions keen to host a celebration.
Unbelievable scenes. UCF’s swan tune from the AAC ends in a 45-28 loss to Tulane within the championship recreation pic.twitter.com/Mikus2WmXl
— Danielle Stein (@Danielle_Stein9) December 4, 2022
What may need been
Because the committee’s highest-ranked staff from the Group of 5, Tulane is ready for a bid to a New Yr’s Six bowl, but when one of many 12 months’s most iconic performs hadn’t occurred method again in Week 3, it is likely to be Troy celebrating this week.
The Trojans dominated Coastal Carolina within the Solar Belt championship on Saturday, 45-26, regardless of the return of Chanticleers QB Grayson McCall, who had been out since Nov. 3 with an harm.
Troy is now 11-2 on the season and has gained 10 straight, every of the previous three by a minimum of 21.
So, why is not Troy within the dialog for a New Yr’s Six bowl? Blame Chase Brice.
Again in Week 3, Appalachian State had simply pulled off a surprising upset of Texas A&M and hosted “College GameDay,” however the Mountaineers trailed Troy 28-26 with simply 2 seconds to play. That is when Brice heaved a Hail Mary that Christian Horn caught in need of the objective line earlier than he looped round to the sideline and located the top zone for a chaotic 32-28 win.
It was the final time Troy misplaced, but it surely was additionally possible sufficient to maintain the Trojans properly behind Tulane within the Group of 5 pecking order this season.
And but, Troy is not prone to even be the largest story a few Trojans staff narrowly lacking out on a high bowl invite.
Beneath-the-radar play of the week
Justin Marshall hauled in a 37-yard landing cross by reaching over Akron’s Rishad Therefore’s head, serving to to spark an enormous second-half comeback for Buffalo.
Justin Marshall climbs the ladder and makes a spectacular snag for a Buffalo landing.
Marshall completed with two landing grabs within the recreation, and Quian Williams scored from 16 yards out with 1:15 to play to hold the Bulls previous Akron 23-22.
The sport was initially scheduled for Nov. 22, and Buffalo lastly completed shoveling snow off its subject Friday to permit the groups to play. The win will get the Bulls to 6-6 and bowl eligible, too, and if there’s any equity on this planet, they’re going to get to go some place a lot, a lot hotter than Buffalo.
Beneath-the-radar recreation of the week
Six days in the past, New Mexico State hopped onto College Soccer Tinder and up to date its profile: “FBS independent, bowl eligible and ready to mingle.”
Valparaiso rapidly swiped proper, and on Saturday, we realized that, maybe, the Beacons weren’t truly prepared for a relationship.
New Mexico State had already gotten a waiver from the NCAA to change into bowl eligible at 5-6 after its Oct. 22 recreation in opposition to San Jose State was shelved. Nonetheless, the Aggies had a shot to get to .500 with the make-up date in opposition to Valpo and so they did not waste the possibility.
New Mexico State gained 65-3 — a rating that certainly places Valpo head coach Landon Fox on Auburn’s radar when the Tigers are trying once more in 2025 — and secured the Aggies’ second six-win season prior to now 20 years.
With New Mexico State assured a bowl bid — its second since 1960 — and Buffalo knocking off Akron on Friday, 81 of the 82 bowl bids have been might be crammed by groups 6-6 or higher. That leaves Rice — at 5-7 — as the ultimate staff to make a bowl courtesy of getting the best APR amongst five-win groups.