2022 CFP – First have a look at Georgia-Ohio State, Michigan-TCU

Nick Saban tried. Alabama’s coach discovered no matter megaphone was out there to him Saturday night time to publicly plead the Crimson Tide’s case to make the School Soccer Playoff.

He recommended trying on the high 4 via the lens of, “How are they playing at the present?” He requested, “If we played these teams in question, would we be underdogs in the game or not?”

However the committee did not budge. Betting traces aren’t a part of their standards, in spite of everything. They meet in Grapevine, Texas, not Las Vegas.

There could be no leapfrogging Ohio State or TCU. Ultimately, the mathematics was easy: The highest three of Georgia, Michigan and TCU remained the identical, out went USC by advantage of a second loss within the Pac-12 championship sport, and in slipped the Buckeyes, who moved up one spot to No. 4. Which suggests, for simply the second time because the CFP started in 2014, Alabama is not going to be a part of the semifinal spherical.

So we’ve new blood: The Horned Frogs change into the primary crew from the Huge 12 not named Oklahoma to achieve the playoff.

And we’ve an previous rivalry: The Buckeyes and Wolverines will play their respective semifinal video games for an opportunity to fulfill for the nationwide championship.

And we’ve an opportunity for some extra historical past: Georgia is searching for to change into the primary repeat champion of the CFP period.

This is a primary have a look at the semifinal video games.

No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State
CFP Semifinal on the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
When: Saturday, Dec. 31 at 8 p.m. ET
The place: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Methods to watch: ESPN and ESPN App
Opening line through Caesars Sportsbook: Georgia by 7

Georgia

Key participant: Georgia’s protection should not be this good once more. Repeating final season’s success would have been laborious sufficient, even when it had not misplaced 5 first-round draft picks to the NFL. However perhaps essentially the most gifted participant on that protection from a yr in the past — Jalen Carter — did come again. And after coping with nagging accidents the primary half of the season, he has confirmed what a game-wrecker he will be of late. In his previous six video games, he had 24 tackles, 6.5 tackles for loss, three sacks and two pressured fumbles. Huge and robust sufficient to plug the operating lanes, and fast and agile sufficient to hurry the passer, Carter should be accounted for.

X issue: Georgia’s offense is efficient, in fact. It has a three-headed monster at operating again with Kenny McIntosh, Kendall Milton and Daijun Edwards. And quarterback Stetson Bennett is a risk whether or not he is throwing from the pocket or scrambling for yards. What’s extra, he has mismatches at tight finish in Brock Bowers and Darnell Washington to lean on. However who’s the go-to receiver? Who’s the deep risk? Ladd McConkey is stable with 51 receptions and 5 touchdowns, however these aren’t precisely eye-popping numbers, and he is undersized at 6-foot. Fellow receivers Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint and Dillon Bell have solely two touchdowns apiece.

How Georgia wins: The formulation is not terribly difficult. Kirby Good constructed the Bulldogs to win the road of scrimmage on each side of the ball. So begin from the within out. Carter and the line of defense suffocate the operating sport (2.97 yards per rush through the common season, sixth lowest within the FBS) and get within the face of the quarterback (31% stress charge). In the meantime, the offensive line powers a powerful operating sport (5.5 yards per rush, eighth greatest amongst Energy 5 groups) and protects the quarterback (seven sacks, tied for second fewest within the FBS). Throw in a savvy veteran quarterback (Bennett) and an All-America tight finish (Bowers), and all of the substances to achieve the nationwide championship sport are there. — Alex Scarborough

Ohio State

Key participant: Quarterback C.J. Stroud had a Heisman-type season going till the Michigan sport, with 3,330 passing yards, 37 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on the yr. Stroud threw for 349 yards and two touchdowns in opposition to the Wolverines but in addition had two interceptions. The Buckeyes had been coping with accidents to operating again TreVeyon Henderson and Miyan Williams, whereas freshman Dallan Hayden had simply two carries. With transformed linebacker Chip Trayanum getting a lot of the carries, Stroud turns into that rather more essential if Ohio State is not absolutely wholesome at operating again. He has been the chief of the offense this season, and whereas the loss to rival Michigan was a giant setback, he could make up for it within the playoffs.

X issue: Huge receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. is likely one of the greatest receivers within the nation. He has repeatedly made ridiculous catches all through the season and makes performs most receivers cannot. The Buckeyes are coping with accidents to the bottom sport and have additionally been with out receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, so Harrison is important to the offense on this stage. If he can present a dependable goal for Stroud and get ultimately zone, Ohio State ought to be capable of hold with any of the opposite semifinalists.

How Ohio State wins: The protection must restrict large performs. It has executed job of limiting explosive performs all season however confirmed some weaknesses in opposition to the Wolverines, who had been capable of rating a number of lengthy touchdowns via the air and on the bottom. The offense has proved that it may well put factors on the board, however now the protection has to fulfill the problem of enjoying a top-notch offense and have its greatest sport but. — Tom VanHaaren


No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU
CFP Semifinal on the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
When: Saturday, Dec. 31 at 4 p.m. ET
The place: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
Methods to watch: ESPN and ESPN App
Opening line through Caesars Sportsbook: Michigan by 9

Michigan

Key participant: Working again Donovan Edwards had 216 speeding yards and two touchdowns in Michigan’s win in opposition to Ohio State. With Blake Corum out, Edwards’ efficiency shall be key for the Wolverines. The run sport is important to the Michigan offense, and Edwards’ skill to ascertain the run and open up the passing sport shall be a key for the Wolverines.

X issue: Michigan has been a second-half crew all season, with a plus-186 level differential after halftime. That’s the second-highest margin for any FBS crew via 12 video games over the previous 10 years. The Wolverines have been ready to wear down their opponents in each sport and haven’t proven any indicators that they’ll decelerate after outscoring Ohio State 28-3 within the ultimate regular-season sport and Purdue 29-9 within the Huge Ten championship sport. Coach Jim Harbaugh has praised energy and conditioning coach Ben Herbert for these second-half surges, which have been a signature for Michigan all season.

How Michigan wins: If the Wolverines can set up their operating sport and management the clock as they’ve all season, plus combine in some large performs via the air from quarterback J.J. McCarthy, they need to have shot. McCarthy has repeatedly known as this a “smashfest” crew, and the Wolverines relish beating their opponents up entrance. Michigan confirmed it may well strike via the air if it has to in opposition to Ohio State, however its best situation is having success on the bottom first. — Tom VanHaaren

TCU

Key participant: Max Duggan tried one other wild comeback Saturday in opposition to Kansas State, however the Frogs got here up simply quick for the primary time in six of these scratch-and-claw video games this season. However Duggan has been unflappable, by no means extra so than in a late comeback win on the street at Baylor, when he led two fourth-quarter scoring drives with out TCU’s greatest operating again (Kendre Miller, who has 1,342 speeding yards this season, essentially the most at TCU since LaDainian Tomlinson in 2000), high two receivers (Quentin Johnston and Derius Davis) and no timeouts. Duggan has thrown for 3,321 yards and 30 touchdowns to simply 4 interceptions, and his 25 profession speeding touchdowns are within the high 10 in class historical past. Duggan calmly piloted the Frogs to victory after falling behind by 17 to Oklahoma State and 18 to Kansas State within the common season. That is why he is a number one contender for the Heisman Trophy.

X issue: Quentin Johnston. The 6-4, 215-pound junior receiver is a big-play risk with first-round draft potential however has been hobbled for a lot of the season. When TCU has turned to him, he has been enormous, together with a key third-down catch with the sport on the road within the fourth quarter at Texas, and a 55-yard landing catch down late in opposition to Kansas State. The Horned Frogs had been capable of relaxation him in opposition to Iowa State to get him prepared for the postseason. When he was wholesome, Johnston confirmed his potential with a two-game stretch in opposition to Oklahoma State and on the street in opposition to Kansas, when he mixed for 22 catches for 386 yards and two touchdowns. On Saturday in opposition to Kansas State, he caught 4 passes for 139 yards. A return to that sort of risk could be an enormous increase for TCU.

How TCU wins: The Frogs have employed a mixture of thunder and lightning to maintain opponents on the ropes, notably within the second half. TCU had 17 performs of no less than 50 yards this season, second solely to Tennessee within the FBS. Duggan ranks third nationally in completion share on passes of 20 or extra yards downfield at a 54.7% clip with 12 touchdowns on such performs, tops within the nation. And Miller rushed for greater than 1,000 yards between the tackles and is hard to carry down, rating third within the Huge 12 with 650 yards after contact. If the Frogs can stay affected person and pound away with Miller, they will be capable of open up the sector for his or her playmakers and a roster loaded with pace. — Dave Wilson